Posted on 10/13/2012 6:27:43 PM PDT by Colonel Kangaroo
PPP's newest Ohio poll finds Barack Obama leading 51-46, a 5 point lead not too different from our last poll two weeks ago when he led 49-45.
The key finding on this poll may be how the early voters are breaking out. 19% of people say they've already cast their ballots and they report having voted for Obama by a 76-24 margin. Romney has a 51-45 advantage with those who haven't voted yet, but the numbers make it clear that he already has a lot of ground to make up in the final three weeks before the election.
We've found a major improvement in Mitt Romney's image in most of the states that we've polled since the Presidential debate, but Ohio is an exception. His favorability now is a 45/51 spread, showing no improvement from his 45/49 breakdown two weeks ago. Obama meanwhile has seen a small spike in his approval rating, from 48/49 to 50/48.
The Vice Presidential debate may have given Obama at least a small boost as well. 46% of Ohio voters think Joe Biden won it to 37% who believe Paul Ryan was the victor. Biden's advantage is 44/32 with independents. 62% of both Democrats and Republicans say they're 'very excited' to vote this fall, reversing a trend we saw in some post-Presidential debate polling of GOP voters expressing more enthusiasm about the election this year.
One thing clear from our poll: Republican efforts to make a big deal out of Libya aren't succeeding. By a 51/43 margin, voters trust Obama more than Romney on dealing with that issue. Obama also has a 51/46 advantage on dealing with the economy that mirrors his overall lead.
One reason Romney might be struggling to get traction in Ohio even as he surges elsewhere is his record on the auto bailout. Voters in the state support it by a 54/37 margin, including 58/35 with independents. They think Obama would be better than Romney for the auto industry 50/43, and 79% of voters consider it to be an important issue including 42% who say it's 'very important.'
In the US Senate race Sherrod Brown leads Republican challenger Josh Mandel 49-42, little change from a 49-41 advantage two weeks ago. Brown has narrowly positive approval numbers on this poll with 45% of voters giving him good marks to 43% who disapprove. Mandel meanwhile continues to be unpopular with only 37% of voters expressing a positive opinion of him to 50% with a negative one. Mandel may have more to worry about in 2014- he trails a generic Democrat 40-39 for reelection as State Treasurer. This campaign- at least to date- has been pretty damaging to his image. Others notes from Ohio:
-The state's referendum to create an independent commission on redistricting looks a little bit more alive than it did two weeks ago, although it's still an uphill battle. 37% of voters support it to 44% opposed, compared to a 26/49 spread last time. The main movement has been among Democrats who've gone from favoring it only narrowly (37/34) to pretty strong support (58/24).
-John Kasich has a 42/41 approval spread and leads a hypothetical Democratic opponent 45-42.
-John Boehner's very unpopular in his home state with a 33/46 approval rating. Nevertheless Republicans lead the generic Congressional ballot 44-42.
-Rob Portman has a 35/25 approval rating. 40% of voters have no opinion about him.
Full results here
I would agree, except I think this Libyan scandal has some legs to it. Add some Clinton/Obama implosion in the mix, and this thing is going more our way. I think the only thing that will save it for the dims, is some serious cheating which is a pretty good bet. All in all, Ohio will likely be a nail biter that could be like 2000 Florida.
Of course. No bias there:). It just so happens the one critical swing state is bucking the trend everywhere else.
Go Josh, Go!!!
Don’t forget Wisconsin. The dems threw everything that they had at Walker and lost. Bigtime. That groundgame is tested and ready to go. I predict Romney wins WI. Thompson wins the Senate too.
riri.... "suspect"... "mostly leftist stereotypical religious comments" .. you have no clue about me. That being said, I have voted Republican in every election since the age of 18 and I am now in my late 40s. I have never voted for democrat unless it was a "non-partisan" local election.
I engage in legitimate debate here in the FR, and not question the legitimacy of various posters here on FR. I view myself as reasonable and try my best to follow the Lord's rule; treating others as I would like to be treated. I try hard not to bash or pigeon-hole anyone because of their beliefs, comments, or position.
At the risk of breaking the Lord's rule, you seems to formulate extreme and certain opinions based on very little information. What is your definition of a "legit" poster? Someone that sees everything the way you do? If it is, that doesn't get you far in life. I have very conservative views on most issues. I recently retired after successfully running a medium sized company that I started when I was just 26 years old. When I retired, we had just under 1000 employees, and over 5000 customers. They all come from different points of view, and all needed slightly different approaches to motivate them into action. In order to do that, it takes a clear, unbiased view of each person I dealt with. When you learn to listen with both ears open, an open heart and mind, you will find that you will have more influence and respect from those that do not always see things the way you do.
Catfish1957.... I sure hope you’re right...adding in Hillary’s attempt to give the appearance she’s falling on her sword, will make her look magnanimous and make Obama look like he’s hiding, ducking, etc.
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