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To: AFPhys

Just a bit? *wink*

Rasmussen doesn’t do big swings very well because they weight their party affiliations. A one-day 4-point swing when the debate has not even been baked in yet is gigantic.


4 posted on 10/06/2012 6:49:42 AM PDT by Cruising For Freedom (Don't be the proof that MSM PsyOps works.)
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To: Cruising For Freedom

That is a very good point. I believe that Ras weights according to a 3-week moving average of party affiliation. That means that there will be automatic D oversampling when people are swinging toward saying “I am an R”.

According to another thread, 20 minutes into the debate, GOP online voter registrations started zooming upward, and that has not yet abated, according to last I heard.


7 posted on 10/06/2012 6:53:30 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: Cruising For Freedom

But, what I always wonder is, with each side at rough parity, and just a slightly different sample for D and R, how can Romney be up ONLY +2 if he gets +16 among undecideds? Is their number that small?


13 posted on 10/06/2012 6:56:59 AM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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