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To: SoftwareEngineer

Still a dead heat.

Rasmussen O 49 R 47 (D+3 Sample)
NBC/Wall St O 49 R 46 (D+4)
ABC/WaPo 49 R 47 (D+3)
CNN O 50 R 47 (D+8)
Politico/GW O 49 R 47 (D+3)
Natl Journal O47 R 47 (D+7)

Avg O 48 R 47 (D +5)


4 posted on 10/03/2012 7:00:14 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: nhwingut

Obama still is under 50% in every poll.


8 posted on 10/03/2012 7:06:44 AM PDT by Republican Extremist
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To: nhwingut

National Journal tied among LV and they’re using 2008 model.


12 posted on 10/03/2012 7:17:28 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: nhwingut

The polling numbers are sheer nonsense. They go from D+3 to D+8, yet the results are statistically the same. It’s possible for Obama to be winning the popular vote, yet losing the EC.

The important points are he’s below 50% in every poll. Momentum is on our side. We keep harping on Romney, yet it is Obama who is struggling.

The MSM has a billion dollars in spending on pro-Obama “newsvertisements” and “aditorials”, yet he still cannot get traction. Only 9% of people contacted participate in the poll. That’s overwhelming self-selection.


19 posted on 10/03/2012 7:24:24 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: nhwingut
It is statistically a dead heat if you look at just one poll. But the aggregate indicates 0 is ahead outside the margin of error, so he will win if the election were held today. I am certain of that....

Having said that, the significance of the very low poll participation rate (9%) should not be forgotten. If there is indeed a systematic skewing of the demographic sample due to the low participation (R&R supporters like me consistently refusing to answer polls) then the actual results may be very different, but not because the polls were inaccurate. The polls only predict what those willing to be polled will indicate.

25 posted on 10/03/2012 7:39:34 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: nhwingut

Looks like the left wing media decided to give Romney 47 percent in every poll.


63 posted on 10/03/2012 5:07:26 PM PDT by o2bfree
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