Rasmussen: SWING STATE: Sunday 09/30: O:48% R:44%: Leaners: O:50% R:45%

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 09/30/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

[SoftwareEngineer]

The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account, subscribe now.

Platinum Members have access to detailed demographic information.

In the 11 swing states, President Obama earns 48% support to Mitt Romney’s 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer another candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

This is the widest gap in the race since September 6 when Romney held a four-point lead as his bounce from the Republican National Convention peaked. Obama has now been ahead for nine of the last 11 days. For two days late last week, the candidates were tied.

In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.

When “leaners” are factored in, the president leads Romney 50% to 45%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Ugly ugly data. Has really changed in the last three days. Has gone from being +2 Romney (with leaners) to -5 Romney (with leaners). That is a SEVEN point swing in three days. I dont even think that is possible

I don't even think anything has happened to change it so much. I truly wonder if Rasmussen has changed his demographic mix

[Perdogg]

It is a D+3 poll.

[timlot]

OMG, What is going on? Are the American people this stupid? This might just be a debate set up by Rasmussen, but if Romney doesn’t perform this thing could blow wide open.

[tatown]

If these numbers are to be believed Obama is poised to win by at least as big of margins as he got in 2008. Un-effin-believable!

[profit_guy]

[LS]

And yet . . . and yet . . . the OH absentee ballot requests CONTINUE to show a massive underperformance of Ds (like 2012, or even 2004) and a strong overperformance of Rs (like 2012). There are polls, then there are votes. So far, they are telling two different stories, unless large numbers of R are voting for Obama.

If that's the case, then we might as well not even bother with party registration.

[profit_guy]

I invoke Truman. The people will still rise against Dewey.

[ilgipper]

Gallop also showed a decent bump for Obama in the last few days. They both were tied at 46 or 47 at the beginning of the week. Romney needs to have a good week with some effective messaging on Obama and a good debate. The ‘Obama landslide’ psychops seems to be having a good effect on voters. I also thil Obama’s commercials are better than Romney’s in the swing states. They are rewriting history and there has not been an effective counte argument. Obama is talking about his recovery, and Romney’s ads are talking about China.

[Berlin_Freeper]

Harry Reid played the Mormon card.

[NKP_Vet]

RAS polls getting as radical as the democrat-dominated polls. I think he must be scared that if he shows Willard winning anything that Axelrod will come knocking on his front door.

[BarnacleCenturion]

So.. Romney is 4 points ahead among independents, but 4 points behind overall... ok.

[greene66]

One thing I worry about is if Romney keeps on this current negative path, what of the potential to drag down a number of important Senate seats that we all thought were practically in the bag?

[Berlin_Freeper]

Democrats, Stop Claiming You Are Independents!!!

[SeekAndFind]

The 50% figure is really worrying. This is the first time Rasmussen has Obama reaching that significant figure.

[gulf1609]

He is ahead with independents AND drawing more GOP support than Obama receives DEM support.

[molson209]

It’s all the Dem ,Romney is done so he should go home propaganda

[Perdogg]

This poll is crap. Do they really expect me to believe that 0bama has a 7 point lead among men?

[GOPGuide]

Rasmussen's sample is D+3

http://washingtonexaminer.com/rasmussen-yes-dems-likely-have-2-4-point-advantage-in-november/article/2509409#.UGeycRj2Ez6

“Republicans have ranged from 32 to 37 percent. Right now, our sample looks like 36 percent Republican versus 39 percent Democrat.”

[GOPGuide]

Rasmussen's sample is D+3

http://washingtonexaminer.com/rasmussen-yes-dems-likely-have-2-4-point-advantage-in-november/article/2509409

“Republicans have ranged from 32 to 37 percent. Right now, our sample looks like 36 percent Republican versus 39 percent Democrat.”

[Perdogg]

This poll looks fishy.

0bama is up by 4.

Romney has a +4 up on Indies
Romney has more GOPers than Mugabe has Dems by one.

Romeny is leading women by 4, Mugabe leads by 7 with men.

I think this at least a D+6 poll.