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To: SoftwareEngineer
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5 posted on 09/30/2012 7:39:30 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

So.. Romney is 4 points ahead among independents, but 4 points behind overall... ok.


11 posted on 09/30/2012 7:47:26 AM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
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To: profit_guy; LS; SoftwareEngineer; tatown

This poll looks fishy.

0bama is up by 4.

Romney has a +4 up on Indies
Romney has more GOPers than Mugabe has Dems by one.

Romeny is leading women by 4, Mugabe leads by 7 with men.

I think this at least a D+6 poll.


20 posted on 09/30/2012 8:09:06 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: profit_guy; All
Thank you very much for posting this Rasmussen internal and detailed data for swing states. To get the results of Obama 48% Romney 44% this means a big oversampling of democrats. In fact it is D +9...

I calculated for % of democrats, % Republicans, and % Independents... and it shows % democrats 40%, % Republicans 31%, % Independents 29%...

% Obama = (84x40 + 10x31 + 39x29)/100 = 48.01% round it to 48%...

% Romney = (12x40 + 86x31 + 43x29)/100 = 43.93% round it to 44%...

Not bad at all considering a D + 9 sample... In fact if we use % D =35%, % R=35% and % I =30% then Romney would be 47% and Obama 45%...

Therefore fellow Patriots, do not panic...

93 posted on 09/30/2012 2:06:07 PM PDT by Conservative12345
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To: profit_guy

Also Obama leading among men by 7 and Romney leading among women by 2 make no sense... I think there is a massive oversampling of liberal men in this poll and under sampling of liberal women..


94 posted on 09/30/2012 2:06:13 PM PDT by Conservative12345
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