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To: montag813
Real FReepers expected as much ~ and demanded action by the GOP-e to come up with a winning candidate or just get out of the Republican party and leave those people alone.

That didn't happen so now there's this campaign doing something ~ GOING TO CALIFORNIA? ~ and early voting is already underway.

BTW, Obamugabe went to Woodbridge VA just down the street and had a big gathering in an outdoor stadium ~ a whole 12,000 people!

Sarah's first appearance in Virginia 4 years ago drew TWICE THAT! And that was without seats or toilets.

I am sure both sides in this campaign have their own private polls that portend total disaster ~ that's an artifact of declining popularity for both candidates, but the system still works to assign a victory to one or the other, but that will literally be unknown until the last ballot is counted ~ and will be a complete and utter surprise to the winner and the loser.

114 posted on 09/22/2012 6:34:04 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah
the system still works to assign a victory to one or the other, but that will literally be unknown until the last ballot is counted ~ and will be a complete and utter surprise to the winner and the loser.

I think the "turnout model" for this election is going to be very different from any that the pollsters are using. This is the first time in my lifetime we're going to have a lot of hopeless people who think neither party can fix the nation's problems. I think it's going to be a "base" election, with enthusiasm only in the base of each party, and depressed turnout among "independent" and "swing" voters. Unfortunately, Obama's base has been getting the exact radical policy they wanted, and now even more with promises of tax increases and same-sex marriage. The Republican base has an enthusiastic ABO segment for sure, but they don't have a candidate that has a positive message that excites them. Hence that's why Obama is the likely winner in my opinion. He's going to turn out more of his base than the Republicans and win.

134 posted on 09/22/2012 6:53:57 PM PDT by JediJones (KARL ROVE: "And remember, this year, no one is seriously talking about ending abortion.")
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