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Well, you're free to take anything I say with a grain of salt based on my 08 track record, but just based on the numbers there is a case on either side. Tea Party attendance at meetings is definitely down. But (check me) I think mid-term turnout in 2010 was exceptionally high, and the WI recall obviously represented a great deal of enthusiasm on our side.

On a local/county level, I spoke with a GOP vet precinct worker. She is now a precinct captain and attended the first organizing meeting of captains the other night. She was extremely impressed with the groundwork the Romney people had done; said it was as or more organized than Rove's successful 04 campaign; had EVERY GOP, indie, and switcher recorded, identified, and called AND "walked." The local/county HQ has set records for calls and walks.

So, I think the anger and seething of 2010 will not be there, but the overall disgust with this oaf is certainly there and will be reflected. My 2 cents. But I think you are seeing that in ALL the non-phony polls (Mitt up 4 in NH, up 2 in CO, up 2 in FL, down 1 in PA, down only 7 in CT and so on.)