I don’t watch MSNBC (or Fox, hardly ever anymore) so I don’t know about the talking heads but the typing heads on the interwebs have always been confident of an Osama victory.
Romney winning relatively easy was and still is more likely than Osama doing the same but I always figured on a close race ala 2004.
Before the RNC Republicans were in denial about how Romney wasnt doing that great until that Romney spokeswoman replied to a question by praising Obama-care, then Ingraham and others came out and admitted that Romney was losing the election then it was Ok to say that.
Then Romney picked Ryan, they went to Florida worked on seniors and they held the RNC. In that period the polls started looking better for Romney and the Dems sounded worried on Dem TV and the networks were talking about that, MSNBC was complaining about the media.
But then the DNC got praised by almost all media including Hume and others on FNC and the roles flipped again, you could tell which side is confident due to the other side doing the victim talk about the media and that was no longer Dems, it was Republicans.
Lastly the Romney premature Libya comment and the 47% video tapes were Romney blunders and hurt him, I know the Rush media spin machine says that those BOTH were Romney finally being a Reagan conservative (GAG) and they will bring on a Reagan landslide, that is nonsense.
Romney knows he is losing and so does his campaign, here's how you can tell: