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Doing my own Rasmussen swing state tally with opinions:

Safe Obama: 201
Safe Romney: 181
Need to win: 270

Colorado (9 EV) R: 47 O:45 (9/18 LV)
Florida (29 EV) O: 48 R: 46 (9/13 LV) post DNC bounce?
Iowa (6 EV) R: 46 O:44 (8/10 LV) needs newer poll
Michigan (16 EV) O: 48 R: 42 (7/23 LV) needs newer poll
Missouri (10 EV) R: 48 O:45 (9/13 LV)
Nevada (6 EV) O: 50 R: 45 (7/24 LV) needs newer poll
New Hampshire (4 EV) R: 48 O: 45 (9/19 LV)
North Carolina (15 EV) R: 51 O: 45 (9/14 LV)
Ohio (18 EV) O: 47 R: 46 (9/13 LV) post DNC bounce?
Pennsylvania (20 EV) O: 48 R: 44 (7/20 LV) needs newer poll
Virginia (13 EV) O: 49 R: 48 (9/14 LV) post DNC bounce?
Wisconsin (10 EV) R: 48 O: 47 (8/16 LV) needs newer poll

If you tabulate these at face value, Obama adds 102 and wins with 303 while Romney adds 54 to lose with 235. But three of the most critical battleground states (Florida, Ohio, Virginia) were sampled the week after the Democrat Convention when even Rasmussen showed a strong spike for Obama that might have also been reflected in these polls. The next time these three states are sampled could be quite telling. Those 60 EVs can swing the entire election to 295-243 for Romney.

Florida is the big dog and Romney needs to hit that state as hard as he did during the primaries. If the rest shake out this way, he can afford to lose Ohio or Virginia but not both as long as he wins Florida and a few other close states like Colorado and Wisconsin.

The key will be Florida, Ohio and Virginia and whether there is a shift in these states since the conventions have subsided.