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ARG Ohio Poll: 0 48%, R 47% (sample of 42% Dims, 32% GOP)
ARG ^
Posted on 09/15/2012 9:17:57 AM PDT by Arthurio
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1
posted on
09/15/2012 9:18:01 AM PDT
by
Arthurio
To: Arthurio
2
posted on
09/15/2012 9:20:09 AM PDT
by
harpu
( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
To: Arthurio
Hahahaah! And the dims in the MSM say this campaign is over and we’ve lost.... yeah... right
3
posted on
09/15/2012 9:20:41 AM PDT
by
Viennacon
To: Arthurio; All
Anybody know what is the breakdown in OH by registered voters?
4
posted on
09/15/2012 9:21:54 AM PDT
by
lasereye
To: Viennacon
Last week should/could prove to be fatal for Obie....and not so good for Old Media, either.
5
posted on
09/15/2012 9:22:11 AM PDT
by
chiller
(First check the poll's Dem/Rep/Ind sampling numbers, then re-think.)
To: Arthurio
Could it be that all these polls are weighted toward the democrats on accident?
LOL!!!
6
posted on
09/15/2012 9:22:11 AM PDT
by
ryan71
To: lasereye
Not sure but in 2008 turnout was +8 D. No chance they exceed that here in 2012. At most will be +2 or 3. If romney is tied in a +10 D model thats awesome news.
To: Arthurio
Why do the polls always oversample dems?
To: Arthurio; All
wow- another poll where Romney has double digit advantage from independents...terrific...
9
posted on
09/15/2012 9:27:00 AM PDT
by
God luvs America
(63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
To: Arthurio
Ohio Obama Romney Other Undecided Likely voters 48% 47% 1% 4%
Democrats (42%) 90% 7% - 3%
Republicans (32%) 2% 95% - 3%
Independents (26%) 37% 53% 5% 5% $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ Besides the way-oversampled Dhim's, I think the money line here is the Independents. Sixteen point spread. Noice !!
10
posted on
09/15/2012 9:27:17 AM PDT
by
Eccl 10:2
(Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding")
To: Arthurio
Are the results shown with ‘weighting factors’ applied or is this just raw data?
11
posted on
09/15/2012 9:27:29 AM PDT
by
deport
To: Arthurio
2008 turnout model, plus...
I wonder how far Obama is behind in Ohio if they use the 2012 Wisconsin model, instead?
12
posted on
09/15/2012 9:27:47 AM PDT
by
tcrlaf
(Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
To: lasereye
Polls are using the 2008 models. Things have moved drastically to Rs since 2008 - hence 2010 blowout.
Here's how Gallup has the states heading into 2012... Notice Ohio at D+ 1.3 (not +10).
13
posted on
09/15/2012 9:28:25 AM PDT
by
nhwingut
(Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
To: lasereye; All
i know this, in 2008 when they were amped to voted for the POS in the WH there was a spread of about 8% rats over Republicans...
14
posted on
09/15/2012 9:28:32 AM PDT
by
God luvs America
(63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
To: Arthurio
Can't vouch for how
accurate this link is, it's Wikipedia after all. However, the chart linked states political party strength in each state and shows Republicans at 37% and Democrats at 36% in the state of Ohio.
So if accurate, this poll oversamples Democrats by 11 percentage points.
To: Arthurio
what were party percentages in 2010 and 2008
I’d say this election will be in between but closer to 2010
even with Brylcreem
16
posted on
09/15/2012 9:29:48 AM PDT
by
wardaddy
(this is a perfect window for Netanyahu to bomb Iran..I hereby give my go ahead..thanks Muzzie idiots)
To: Fester Chugabrew
> Why do the polls always oversample dems?
Well, it’s not really oversampling.
When you count illegals, dead people, imprisoned felons, and those who vote in more than one city and state, there really are more DemonRAT voters than Republicans.
17
posted on
09/15/2012 9:30:20 AM PDT
by
Westbrook
(Children do not divide your love, they multiply it.)
To: Arthurio
Well, darn! I was getting it into my head that the only polls I could trust were Rasmussen and ARG. I guess no ARG anymore.
18
posted on
09/15/2012 9:31:21 AM PDT
by
MrChips
(MrChips)
To: Arthurio
To: Arthurio
Another poll 10% more Dems survey.
These guys must really not want to get contracts next year.
And Democrat DU’ers trolling FR today, you ought to be the ones “worried” if it takes that many more Dems to get you a ones point advantage.
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