2 points is within Rasmussen’s 3 point margin of error.
As I understand it, if you take this poll a hundred times, you’re going to have 95% of the polls fall within a range of 49-41, and some of them are going to say Romney 47-Obama 43, R46 O 44, R45-O45.
You are correct. People need to recognize the confidence interval and the effect it has on the spread.
Even those exit polls were wrong. They gave Kerry the plus figures. Then Hillary comes out with that get rid of the electoral college stuff meaning the exit polls should have decided the election.
Anybody know what the breakdown for R, D and I’s? Rassmmussen did do poll to find out voter id and he had +4 R.. Is he using it in these daily tracking polls?