What happened to NH? I thought it was the “Live Free or Die” State?
BTTT
I have read that Penna is more winnable than Nevada, which is unusual. Penna is always a heart breaker for the GOP and Romney has spent almost no time there, compared to Nevada.
That’s right. Romney is ahead nationwide. He has just begun to spend his bigger stash. His numbers will creep up.
I will eat my hat if NV goes for Obummer. Have you been to LV lately? the place is a ghost town... No way they vote for four more years of this crap.
Thursday, June 21, 2012 President Obama holds a five-point lead over Mitt Romney in Rasmussen Reports’ first Election 2012 survey of the key state of New Hampshire.
In 2010, NH GOP voters rampaged and put in SUPER MAJORITIES in both houses.
North Carolina used to be solid Pub until it got invaded by Northeast libs. There is a City called Cary adacent to
Raleigh. The locals say that Cary stands Containment Area for Retired Yankees. They have created a city with the same laws and regulations that they tried to get away from.
Obummer is clearly scared about CO.
He showed up last Tues in Fort Collins and again in Boulder Sunday.
Both talking to College students, both telling them to try and convert their parents.
Romney has been running lots of ads here but his presence has been fairly weak.
PA is winnable.
I would like to think so but since the state did not go for George W. than I can’t imagine the state going for Romney who is way more liberal than George W. Had Pennsylvania gone for George W. and just caught up with Obamamania in 2008 than I would agree with you about our chances with Pennsylvania in 2012.
“NV concerns me, and what the hell has happened to New Hampshire?”
If you click on the states he mentions in this article some of the polling data is from July. NH polling data is from June.
The down ticket races are all overwhelmingly going Republican, thanks to redistricting. Our D Governor, Bev Purdue, had such lousy poll numbers that she declined to run for re-election. The Lt. Gov decided to run, but he has been spending most of his money introducing himself to NC since he had near ZERO profile over the last four years. Republican McCrory is leading him in all of the polls by a big margin.
In general, the Democrats have no motivation to come out to vote in November. The college crowd of 2008 is largely gone and what is left cannot fill 1/3rd of the stadium seats at UNC-CH for an Obama visit/rally.
The real teller is the near total lack of Obama 2012 stickers on cars in Chapel Hill. In 2008, over half the cars had some sticker displayed, whether it be Obama, HRC or Edwards. Of course, I have only seen one Romney sticker (on a pick-up truck), but, hey, this is Chapel Hill, the bluest part of NC.
The nail in the NC coffin for Obama was the gay marriage referendum which lost 60:40 and was largely defeated by a very unified Black church-going population. They are really mad at Obama for “evolving” his position toward gay marriage.
I seriously doubt many blacks will vote for Romney — maybe 2-3%, but the passive-aggressive non-vote will probably push Romney ahead to a 55:45 victory.
BTW, I spend a lot of time in Virginia, and other than Richmond, the same phenomenon is evident as in NC.
Demography is destiny. NV has undergone a huge demographic change in just the last few decades.
In 1990 the NV Hispanic population was 10.3%; in 2000 it was 15.7%, and in 2010 it was 27.1%. CO will also turn purple and then blue for the same reason.
In NV 19.3% are foreign born and 28.2% speak a language other than English at home (ages 5 and up.)
Romney doesn't need NV if he can win PA but I don't see him winning PA. Maybe the mormon population in NV can put Romney over the top in NV.
Is there any particular reason NH should be so deep in the Obama column? Scandal? Targeted ads?
That's racist...
I wonder if there is a way to show the seniors how much the left mocked the elderly with their assaults on Clint Eastwood? Surely, that can’t endure them to the seasoned citizens.
The swing is starting to occur in PA. Romney will appeal to the folks in suburban Philadelphia. They see the direct results of Obama Thugonomics everyday on the local news and local schools. Suburbanites have IDs to vote, and if they are just pissed off enough they will actually vote.
Did you guys hear Rush today? he went on to talk about a recent poll (i can’t recall the name) he said it’s starting to look good for Romney, he said he believe’s we will win pretty big!