[musicman]

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[Jonty30]

That would be awesome.

[Fred Hayek]

I find it hard to believe that Zero would lose Minnesota. Too many Kool Aid drinkers, and a Secretary of State that is a poster boy for election fraud.

[xzins]

Applied retrospectively, the model predicts the correct winner in every presidential contest going back to 1980,

Not to throw cold water on those encouraged by this, but I think that sentence just said that when the election is over, this model is very good at picking the right outcome.

I can do that too.

[mamelukesabre]

I don’t understand how Obama could win more than 5 states or more than 40% of the popular vote.

[LS]

That has been my prediction for about two months.

[Ryan_Rubio_2016]

yes, it looks like a 180 reversal of 2008, Romney will win 53/47ish. But if it was an “Honest Election”, like they have in Nevada,Philly and Chicago, it would be closer to a 60/40 Romney landslide.

[SamAdams76]

I realize this is going to sound very weird but a few weeks ago, I had a dream where the Romney ticket got 74.42% of the popular vote. That number has been sticking in my head ever since.

74.42% of the vote.

Is it even possible? A lot will have to happen in the next 11 weeks to make that happen.

[citizen]

That’s at the low end of how I expect the electorate to vote.

[hitchwolf]

I would not get my hopes up. Obama will likely win Pennsylvania and Ohio, and I think he has a really good shot at Virginia. That would basically end it for him with those 3.

[Tzimisce]

Don’t count your votes before the liberal judges do. :)

[americas.best.days...]

I goofed around with the map on 270towin.com. I came up
with romney 389 and obamma 149 (HI,CA,MN,IL,NY,MD,DC,RI,
VT AND MA)

Thats my prediction and i’m willing it to happen although
i’m still going to volunteer with the rjc here in ohio(oiho)
and make phonecalls just in case...

I hope i win the contest and that my country is saved as well.

[Kharis13]

I think Romney will win closer to 55% of the vote.

[cdcdawg]

While the model is heartening, this election and 2008 have something the other years did not. Barack Obama is black. That means that a lot of people voted for him in 2008 because of novelty, racial solidarity, and LOTS of white guilt. Many of them knew nothing about him at all. It didn’t matter. It could well be that nothing will matter this time. Remains to be seen. I doubt that guilt is infinite, but I’m starting to wonder.

[Raycpa]

2008:

http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Economic_models_predict_clear_Obama_win_0801.html

His model, which assumed tepid U.S. economic growth of 1.5 percent and a 3 percent rate of inflation, predicted the Republican candidate John McCain’s share of the vote would be 47.8 percent, handing Obama 52.2 percent.

[Ron C.]

"52.9% of the vote, 320 electoral votes"

I seriously doubt that with Ohio and Virginia looking poor right now.

I hope Obama loses - and loses BIG - but things have to look a lot better for Romney than they do right now.

[Aria]

So I have to tell someone....

Yesterday I was at San Francisco General Hospital (you’ve got to hope you don’t end up there) and we were trying to check someone out. Well, in the hall there was a confrontation with a black guy with dreadlocks in a wheelchair and a TV in his lap and his friend (or whatever) who was a plump black girl with major attitude. She told a cop standing there that he couldn’t touch her - apparently the cop had asked if she was on probation and she was very positive that this guy had no right to “touch her” and wasn’t nice about it “You can’t touch me”. The cop was standing back...obviously afraid of the implications. This girl was in charge. I just thought to myself - there is an Obama voter and probably she and the guy in the wheelchair are on welfare. These were professionally militant blacks.

I work with black people, in fact one of the people in my hospital visiting group is black, but they are different...they don’t care about color or use it as a weapon or an excuse. The underclass the liberals have created for their base is like a bunch of people from another planet for those of us who aren’t used to it. I watched the episode yesterday and just thought “California is gone forever”. Pray the rest of the country doesn’t follow.

[nicmarlo]

Their forecast suggests that President Obama will lose in almost all of the swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida…

Awesome. I'm beyond thrilled to think about him being summarily and humiliatingly axed on Nov. 2.

[Biggirl]

Including OH, VA, and PA.

[Repeal 16-17]

Using a state-by-state analysis of unemployment and per-capita income, academics Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry of the University of Colorado project that Romney will win 52.9% of the popular vote and 320 electoral votes.

I really, really, REALLY want them to be correct. Nonetheless, we have to keep fighting as if these guys have no idea what they are talking about.