So how did that Ryan pick work out? (A look at the numbers)

Hotair ^ | 08/17/2012 | Jazz Shaw

[SeekAndFind]

Today marks one full week since presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney named Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan as his running mate in the battle of 2012. Trying to figure out precisely what effect this is having on the race seems to be an increasingly difficult task for the traditional media, who largely perform their research on such things by asking each other for dueling, ten second sound bites. With so little to go on, perhaps we should turn to our old friend mathematics. Today, Romney campaign manager Matt Rhoades released a memo bring everyone up to date on some of the key campaign figures over the past week.

First up ... donations.

Online Fundraising

• Donations: 124,800+
• Amount: $10,157,947
• Average Donation: $81
• % New Donors: 68%

The Obama campaign doesn't seem to release their fundraising numbers on such a granular level these days, but if there had been some sort of massive, anti-Ryan backlash flood of donations I think Axlerod or Cutter would have let us know by now.

How's Mitt faring in the social media and web world since the Ryan announcement?

• Site Traffic – Total: 2,000,000
• Mitt Romney Facebook: +510,000 — Now 4,360,000
• Mitt Romney Twitter: +54,000 — Now 861,000
• Paul Ryan Facebook: +860,000
• Paul Ryan Twitter: +118,500
• Volunteers 45,000+ sign up to volunteer online

You can go out on all the Sunday shows and spin the headlines however you like, but that’s got to be a pretty encouraging set of numbers for America’s Comeback Team. But what explains them in terms of the reality on the ground? If Paul Ryan is so scary and radical, where is this surge of support coming from?

Kirsten Powers thinks she may have the answer. She seems to believe that younger voters of Ryan’s era – which she calls “Generation Screwed” – are open to his message of long term solutions.

Unfortunately, the future looks as bleak for today’s young people. No amount of coddling by their well-provided-for Boomer parents can save Generation Y and the Millennials from the dire economic conditions they face, including criminal levels of educational debt. Pensions have gone the way of the horse and buggy. You want to retire with health-care benefits, as both my professor parents did? Good luck. As the 1994 movie turned Gen-X mantra has it: Reality Bites…

A Zogby/JZ Analytics poll Tuesday showed increased support among voters 18-29 for the Romney ticket, which pollster John Zogby attributed to the Ryan pick. President Obama received just 49 percent of the youth vote, versus Romney’s 41 percent. (Obama took home 66 percent of the youth vote against McCain in 2008.)

81 days to go. The convention is only a little more than a week away. Let’s get a batch of popcorn going, folks. Things are just starting to get interesting.

Update (Ed): It’s 81 days to go, not 88. I’ve fixed it above, and here’s a handy countdown clock:

[Delhi Rebels]

OK, I’ll bite, if this suggests that Paul Ryan might not be able to drag a lackluster Romney into the winner’s circle, WHO CAN?

If anyone can it's going to be the "anybody but Obama" voters. Romney will reap the benefits of their discontent solely because he is the only other real candidate.

[FourtySeven]

I would say Pollster1’s question of “ The meaningful question is: How do those numbers compare with the week before Ryan was announced?” is quite relevant.

I took the plus sign next to some of the numbers as an indication that the number was an increase over last week. If this is true, the increase in donations seems to be significant.

However for a true comparison Pollster1’s question should be answered in full, to whit: Compare all these numbers to any gains seen before the Ryan pick, and compare in terms of percent gain.

I don’t have the time right now but maybe later.

[maine-iac7]

well then - is this relevent enough for you?

Since ‘the pick’ - a 17% UPTICK for R&R in FLORIDA - the Senior Citizen state.

http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2012/08/15/in-florida-17-change-vote-because-of-ryan-vp-pick-vote-changers-by-43-are-drawn-to-romney/

[maine-iac7]

What YOU said - all of it.

Romney is a tried and true successful business man - that includes the ability to pick the right people for the right position - AND at the right time.

It was BRILLINAT to announce his pick a week BEFORE convention, not AT the convention.

This has resulted in a fire storm of publicity - and has energized the base while waking up the general public.

Then, before the feathers settle, comes the convention...FAr greater numbers will now watch -

Brilliant.

Also, his picking Ryan over a gender/ethnic/crucial state pick shows he has the smarts to place the right people in the right postion. That bodes well for who he puts into his cabinet.

We may just be able to stop this Scoialist/Muslim trainwreck afterall

R&R = Restoration & Recovery

[Pollster1]

I don't quite agree:

17% of registered voters in the state of Florida say they will change who they will vote for in the election for President as a result of Mitt Romney’s selection of Paul Ryan . . . Of those who will change their vote, 57% say they are more likely to vote for Romney, 42% say they are less likely to vote for Romney.

If you take those surveyed at their word (and I don't - how many firmly decided voters say that every event makes them "more likely to vote for" the option they have already chosen?), that is a net gain of 15% of the 17% who claim to have changed their opinions, or 2.5%. That is, as Clueless Joe would say, a big deal, but it's not a 17% uptick. When we get the next reliable poll of FL voters, we'll find out what this really means. I'm hopeful, but I don't expect the numbers from Rasmussen, Gallup, or anyone else to actually show 17% or even 2.55%. I'd take a change of 1.5% and call that a big win.

[maine-iac7]

I don’t rely on the ‘polls’ - which we know can be easily skewed - and are - as well as over sampled with dems -

I’ll take these REAL and VERIFIABLE stats at to what has happened in the past few days. They tell quite a story - and they are the FACTS.

Online Fundraising for R&R
Donations: 124,800+
Amount: $10,157,947
Average Donation: $81
% New Donors: 68%

the social media and web world since the Ryan announcement?

Site Traffic – Total: 2,000,000
Mitt Romney Facebook: +510,000 — Now 4,360,000
Mitt Romney Twitter: +54,000 — Now 861,000
Paul Ryan Facebook: +860,000
Paul Ryan Twitter: +118,500
Volunteers 45,000+ sign up to volunteer online

all the naysayrs and twisters can put that in their pipes and smoke it - it’s what’s going down. No way to spin it.