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To: muawiyah

he camel Romney is on is still working on the first hump and there are three more of them to go ~ he’s never going to make it. . . .

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I’m not sure what you base that on, the press hates Romney, the American people realize that means he is a good guy. I think Romney will win by the largest margin since Reagan. I sure wish it was Michelle Bachman.

I don’t think it matters who is running against Obama, I think 60% of the people will vote for anybody but Obama. I realize that there are polls that show Obama ahead, if the poll is anywhere but Washington, DC then they are wrong.


73 posted on 08/04/2012 6:27:47 PM PDT by JAKraig (Surely my religion is at least as good as yours)
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To: JAKraig
Let's say we get 10% more votes this time than last and Obama suffers a 10% loss. That means we get 64.9 million, and Obama gets 62.1 million ~

Or, let's say we get 5% more votes and Obama gets 5% less. That would mean we get 62 million and he gets 66 million.

Last time that happened was...... well, when Roosevelt shellacked Hoover, he got 52% more votes than had Smith in the last election, and Hoover got 26% fewer votes than in his last election.

I think that's the record for the last couple of centuries ~ and there's nothing near it!

In that 1932 race you actually had 5.5 million voters switch from Hoover to Roosevelt, and an additional 2.2 million show up for the first time as Democrat voters.

That shift entailed wholesale abandonment of the Republican standard by a huge number of people.

Tell me what groups of Democrat voters are going to give up Obama (or just not vote at all) and jump for the otherwise bland and far from charismatic Romney?

I don't see the numbers there, nor the rationale, for a Roosevelt type realignment of the two major coalition parties.

76 posted on 08/04/2012 6:44:23 PM PDT by muawiyah
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