Gallup: Obama Approval Below Fifty In All Major Swing States

Big Government ^ | August 1, 2012 | John Nolte

[Zakeet]

Today, Gallup released new job approvals polls taken in all fifty states with the headline: "Thirteen States and D.C. Give Obama Majority Approval."

You can also read that as "Obama Below Majority Approval In 37 States".

The problem for Obama is that his approval numbers are only above 50% in states we already know he's going to win in November. But in swing states he must take in order to win the opportunity to finish the job of destroying our country, the President is well below 50.

Iowa, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania -- 46%.

Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina -- 45%

Ohio -- 44%.

Colorado, New Hampshire -- 43%.

Gallup explains how dire these numbers are for Obama:

The 50% approval mark is significant because post-World War II incumbent presidents who have been above 50% job approval on Election Day were easily re-elected. Presidents with approval ratings below 50% have more uncertain re-election prospects. Historically, two presidents below 50% in their final approval rating before the election -- George W. Bush and Harry Truman -- won, and three, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and George H.W. Bush, lost.

That's a somewhat simplistic way to look at it.

[Snip]

In better news, this latest round of Gallup polls contradict the latest round of juiced media-generated polls…

The CBS/NYT model has Democrats +9 in Florida when in 2008 they were only a +3 and an even split in the 2010 midterms. Ohio’s sample has exactly the split in 2008 (D+8), which is nine points better than Democrats did in the midterms. Pennsylvania’s numbers (D+6) come closest to a rational predictive model, somewhere between 2008′s D+7 and 2010′s D+3, but still looking mighty optimistic for Democratic turnout.

…so it's pretty safe to say that Obama is the one in trouble, not Romney.

[Grampa Dave]

“It’s doubtful that obama will carry any of the states that are close to 50% as well, Dave. I doubt that the pollsters from any polling group are interviewing any registered Republicans or conservatives so even the ‘swings’ matters little.”

I used to be telephone polled, often, a little over a decade ago. These calls came after I retired and was home during normal working hours. So their audience was mainly the soccer mom having a wine break between driving the kids around, the unemployed, the illegals and those on some fake disability.

Caller ID eliminates even answering the phone. We average about 10 calls a week from so called survey/polling outfits. We see who is calling and don’t answer.

Calls after working hours often are from push polls, “like will you not vote for Romney because he hates dogs or belongs to the Mormon cult?”

[Heart of Georgia]

I hope we’ve got people at the watch in Spain, but I’m not depending on it.

I do believe the polls will eventually come in line and the dems won’t be able to cite polls to cover their fraud.

Lots of maybes at play in my thoughts, but if we turn out big, maybe they can’t get away with it.

And if we can hold them back for a few more years, maybe the USA we know and love can make a comeback.