That means there are more people in the poll (which I hope is a perfect sample) who STRONGLY disapprove of Obama than say they will VOTE for Obama.
In other words, that's 45% of the public he is not going to win back. That means he is going to have to beg, borrow and steal to win the remaining 6-7% he needs for re-election. Because, in a two-person race (which is what this is, in reality), Obama is going to need at least a 49% plurality.
Of course, state-by-state is probably more important than national numbers and I think that is still going to be extremely close. Romney is probably going to need one of Iowa, Wisconsin or Michigan to break his way to get to 270 unless he can surprise in Pennsylvania or Virginia.
June has been a terrible month for Obama and we still have to see what the Supreme Court does this week on ObamaCare. I think, ironically, that striking down ObamaXare may actually be a big boost to the economy which might help Obama in November. In addition, oil prices are sinking and are probably going to drive gas prices back down below $3/gal by the end of the summer in most states.
No spiking the football until November 7th, folks.
“23% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve”
Coincidentally, 23% of voters also receive a package of food stamps, medicaid and ADC.