IHA has a good chance of winning, but the threat he faces is from good fresh horse that has the endurance to go the longer distance at Belmont. IHA has had two hard races in less then two months. That takes a lot out of a horse, so a fresh horse will have the best chance of beating him. The great Zenyatta only ran about once every couple of months to insure she was fresh for every race. Zenyatta won 19 of 20 races and only lost her last race by a nose. Being fresh means a lot, horses take a long time to recover from a hard race. Recall the Rachel Alexander never recovered from her hard race at the Woodward. But it is going to take a very good horse to beat IHA so my money would be on him. I think with a good trip he will win.
Thanks. I had no idea it takes a horse so long to recover from a race. That is some fascinating stuff.