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The Party of Civil Rights
National Review Online ^ | May 21, 2012 | Kevin D. Williamson

Posted on 05/25/2012 5:10:27 PM PDT by neverdem

This magazine has long specialized in debunking pernicious political myths, and Jonah Goldberg has now provided an illuminating catalogue of tyrannical clichés, but worse than the myth and the cliché is the outright lie, the utter fabrication with malice aforethought, and my nominee for the worst of them is the popular but indefensible belief that the two major U.S. political parties somehow “switched places” vis-à-vis protecting the rights of black Americans, a development believed to be roughly concurrent with the passage of the 1964 Civil Rights Act and the rise of Richard Nixon. That Republicans have let Democrats get away with this mountebankery is a symptom of their political fecklessness, and in letting them get away with it the GOP has allowed itself to be cut off rhetorically from a pantheon of Republican political heroes, from Abraham Lincoln and Frederick Douglass to Susan B. Anthony, who represent an expression of conservative ideals as true and relevant today as it was in the 19th century. Perhaps even worse, the Democrats have been allowed to rhetorically bury their Bull Connors, their longstanding affiliation with the Ku Klux Klan, and their pitiless opposition to practically every major piece of civil-rights legislation for a century. Republicans may not be able to make significant inroads among black voters in the coming elections, but they would do well to demolish this myth nonetheless.

Even if the Republicans’ rise in the South had happened suddenly in the 1960s (it didn’t) and even if there were no competing explanation (there is), racism — or, more precisely, white southern resentment over the political successes of the civil-rights movement — would be an implausible explanation for the dissolution of the Democratic bloc in the old Confederacy and the emergence of a Republican stronghold there. That is because those southerners who defected from the Democratic party in the 1960s and thereafter did so to join a Republican party that was far more enlightened on racial issues than were the Democrats of the era, and had been for a century. There is no radical break in the Republicans’ civil-rights history: From abolition to Reconstruction to the anti-lynching laws, from the Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments to the Civil Rights Act of 1875 to the Civil Rights Acts of 1957, 1960, and 1964, there exists a line that is by no means perfectly straight or unwavering but that nonetheless connects the politics of Lincoln with those of Dwight D. Eisenhower. And from slavery and secession to remorseless opposition to everything from Reconstruction to the anti-lynching laws, the Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments, the Civil Rights Act of 1875, and the Civil Rights Acts of 1957 and 1960, there exists a similarly identifiable line connecting John Calhoun and Lyndon Baines Johnson. Supporting civil-rights reform was not a radical turnaround for congressional Republicans in 1964, but it was a radical turnaround for Johnson and the Democrats.

The depth of Johnson’s prior opposition to civil-rights reform must be digested in some detail to be properly appreciated. In the House, he did not represent a particularly segregationist constituency (it “made up for being less intensely segregationist than the rest of the South by being more intensely anti-Communist,” as the New York Times put it), but Johnson was practically antebellum in his views. Never mind civil rights or voting rights: In Congress, Johnson had consistently and repeatedly voted against legislation to protect black Americans from lynching. As a leader in the Senate, Johnson did his best to cripple the Civil Rights Act of 1957; not having votes sufficient to stop it, he managed to reduce it to an act of mere symbolism by excising the enforcement provisions before sending it to the desk of President Eisenhower. Johnson’s Democratic colleague Strom Thurmond nonetheless went to the trouble of staging the longest filibuster in history up to that point, speaking for 24 hours in a futile attempt to block the bill. The reformers came back in 1960 with an act to remedy the deficiencies of the 1957 act, and Johnson’s Senate Democrats again staged a record-setting filibuster. In both cases, the “master of the Senate” petitioned the northeastern Kennedy liberals to credit him for having seen to the law’s passage while at the same time boasting to southern Democrats that he had taken the teeth out of the legislation. Johnson would later explain his thinking thus: “These Negroes, they’re getting pretty uppity these days, and that’s a problem for us, since they’ve got something now they never had before: the political pull to back up their uppityness. Now we’ve got to do something about this — we’ve got to give them a little something, just enough to quiet them down, not enough to make a difference.”

Johnson did not spring up from the Democratic soil ex nihilo. Not one Democrat in Congress voted for the Fourteenth Amendment. Not one Democrat in Congress voted for the Fifteenth Amendment. Not one voted for the Civil Rights Act of 1875. Eisenhower as a general began the process of desegregating the military, and Truman as president formalized it, but the main reason either had to act was that President Wilson, the personification of Democratic progressivism, had resegregated previously integrated federal facilities. (“If the colored people made a mistake in voting for me, they ought to correct it,” he declared.) Klansmen from Senator Robert Byrd to Justice Hugo Black held prominent positions in the Democratic party — and President Wilson chose the Klan epic Birth of a Nation to be the first film ever shown at the White House.

Johnson himself denounced an earlier attempt at civil-rights reform as the “nigger bill.” So what happened in 1964 to change Democrats’ minds? In fact, nothing.

President Johnson was nothing if not shrewd, and he knew something that very few popular political commentators appreciate today: The Democrats began losing the “solid South” in the late 1930s — at the same time as they were picking up votes from northern blacks. The Civil War and the sting of Reconstruction had indeed produced a political monopoly for southern Democrats that lasted for decades, but the New Deal had been polarizing. It was very popular in much of the country, including much of the South — Johnson owed his election to the House to his New Deal platform and Roosevelt connections — but there was a conservative backlash against it, and that backlash eventually drove New Deal critics to the Republican party. Likewise, adherents of the isolationist tendency in American politics, which is never very far from the surface, looked askance at what Bob Dole would later famously call “Democrat wars” (a factor that would become especially relevant when the Democrats under Kennedy and Johnson committed the United States to a very divisive war in Vietnam). The tiniest cracks in the Democrats’ southern bloc began to appear with the backlash to FDR’s court-packing scheme and the recession of 1937. Republicans would pick up 81 House seats in the 1938 election, with West Virginia’s all-Democrat delegation ceasing to be so with the acquisition of its first Republican. Kentucky elected a Republican House member in 1934, as did Missouri, while Tennessee’s first Republican House member, elected in 1918, was joined by another in 1932. Throughout the 1940s and 1950s, the Republican party, though marginal, began to take hold in the South — but not very quickly: Dixie would not send its first Republican to the Senate until 1961, with Texas’s election of John Tower.

At the same time, Republicans went through a long dry spell on civil-rights progress. Many of them believed, wrongly, that the issue had been more or less resolved by the constitutional amendments that had been enacted to ensure the full citizenship of black Americans after the Civil War, and that the enduring marginalization of black citizens, particularly in the Democratic states, was a problem that would be healed by time, economic development, and organic social change rather than through a second political confrontation between North and South. (As late as 1964, the Republican platform argued that “the elimination of any such discrimination is a matter of heart, conscience, and education, as well as of equal rights under law.”) The conventional Republican wisdom of the day held that the South was backward because it was poor rather than poor because it was backward. And their strongest piece of evidence for that belief was that Republican support in the South was not among poor whites or the old elites — the two groups that tended to hold the most retrograde beliefs on race — but among the emerging southern middle class, a fact recently documented by professors Byron Shafer and Richard Johnston in The End of Southern Exceptionalism: Class, Race, and Partisan Change in the Postwar South (Harvard University Press, 2006). Which is to say: The Republican rise in the South was contemporaneous with the decline of race as the most important political question and tracked the rise of middle-class voters moved mainly by economic considerations and anti-Communism.

The South had been in effect a Third World country within the United States, and that changed with the post-war economic boom. As Clay Risen put it in the New York Times: “The South transformed itself from a backward region to an engine of the national economy, giving rise to a sizable new wealthy suburban class. This class, not surprisingly, began to vote for the party that best represented its economic interests: the GOP. Working-class whites, however — and here’s the surprise — even those in areas with large black populations, stayed loyal to the Democrats. This was true until the 90s, when the nation as a whole turned rightward in Congressional voting.” The mythmakers would have you believe that it was the opposite: that your white-hooded hillbilly trailer-dwelling tornado-bait voters jumped ship because LBJ signed a civil-rights bill (passed on the strength of disproportionately Republican support in Congress). The facts suggest otherwise.

There is no question that Republicans in the 1960s and thereafter hoped to pick up the angry populists who had delivered several states to Wallace. That was Patrick J. Buchanan’s portfolio in the Nixon campaign. But in the main they did not do so by appeal to racial resentment, direct or indirect. The conservative ascendency of 1964 saw the nomination of Barry Goldwater, a western libertarian who had never been strongly identified with racial issues one way or the other, but who was a principled critic of the 1964 act and its extension of federal power. Goldwater had supported the 1957 and 1960 acts but believed that Title II and Title VII of the 1964 bill were unconstitutional, based in part on a 75-page brief from Robert Bork. But far from extending a welcoming hand to southern segregationists, he named as his running mate a New York representative, William E. Miller, who had been the co-author of Republican civil-rights legislation in the 1950s. The Republican platform in 1964 was hardly catnip for Klansmen: It spoke of the Johnson administration’s failure to help further the “just aspirations of the minority groups” and blasted the president for his refusal “to apply Republican-initiated retraining programs where most needed, particularly where they could afford new economic opportunities to Negro citizens.” Other planks in the platform included: “improvements of civil rights statutes adequate to changing needs of our times; such additional administrative or legislative actions as may be required to end the denial, for whatever unlawful reason, of the right to vote; continued opposition to discrimination based on race, creed, national origin or sex.” And Goldwater’s fellow Republicans ran on a 1964 platform demanding “full implementation and faithful execution of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, and all other civil rights statutes, to assure equal rights and opportunities guaranteed by the Constitution to every citizen.” Some dog whistle.

Of course there were racists in the Republican party. There were racists in the Democratic party. The case of Johnson is well documented, while Nixon had his fantastical panoply of racial obsessions, touching blacks, Jews, Italians (“Don’t have their heads screwed on”), Irish (“They get mean when they drink”), and the Ivy League WASPs he hated so passionately (“Did one of those dirty bastards ever invite me to his f***ing men’s club or goddamn country club? Not once”). But the legislative record, the evolution of the electorate, the party platforms, the keynote speeches — none of them suggests a party-wide Republican about-face on civil rights.

Neither does the history of the black vote. While Republican affiliation was beginning to grow in the South in the late 1930s, the GOP also lost its lock on black voters in the North, among whom the New Deal was extraordinarily popular. By 1940, Democrats for the first time won a majority of black votes in the North. This development was not lost on Lyndon Johnson, who crafted his Great Society with the goal of exploiting widespread dependency for the benefit of the Democratic party. Unlike the New Deal, a flawed program that at least had the excuse of relying upon ideas that were at the time largely untested and enacted in the face of a worldwide economic emergency, Johnson’s Great Society was pure politics. Johnson’s War on Poverty was declared at a time when poverty had been declining for decades, and the first Job Corps office opened when the unemployment rate was less than 5 percent. Congressional Republicans had long supported a program to assist the indigent elderly, but the Democrats insisted that the program cover all of the elderly — even though they were, then as now, the most affluent demographic, with 85 percent of them in households of above-average wealth. Democrats such as Secretary of Health, Education, and Welfare Anthony J. Celebrezze argued that the Great Society would end “dependency” among the elderly and the poor, but the programs were transparently designed merely to transfer dependency from private and local sources of support to federal agencies created and overseen by Johnson and his political heirs. In the context of the rest of his program, Johnson’s unexpected civil-rights conversion looks less like an attempt to empower blacks and more like an attempt to make clients of them.

If the parties had in some meaningful way flipped on civil rights, one would expect that to show up in the electoral results in the years following the Democrats’ 1964 about-face on the issue. Nothing of the sort happened: Of the 21 Democratic senators who opposed the 1964 act, only one would ever change parties. Nor did the segregationist constituencies that elected these Democrats throw them out in favor of Republicans: The remaining 20 continued to be elected as Democrats or were replaced by Democrats. It was, on average, nearly a quarter of a century before those seats went Republican. If southern rednecks ditched the Democrats because of a civil-rights law passed in 1964, it is strange that they waited until the late 1980s and early 1990s to do so. They say things move slower in the South — but not that slow.

Republicans did begin to win some southern House seats, and in many cases segregationist Democrats were thrown out by southern voters in favor of civil-rights Republicans. One of the loudest Democratic segregationists in the House was Texas’s John Dowdy, a bitter and buffoonish opponent of the 1964 reforms, which he declared “would set up a despot in the attorney general’s office with a large corps of enforcers under him; and his will and his oppressive action would be brought to bear upon citizens, just as Hitler’s minions coerced and subjugated the German people. I would say this — I believe this would be agreed to by most people: that, if we had a Hitler in the United States, the first thing he would want would be a bill of this nature.” (Who says political rhetoric has been debased in the past 40 years?) Dowdy was thrown out in 1966 in favor of a Republican with a very respectable record on civil rights, a little-known figure by the name of George H. W. Bush.

It was in fact not until 1995 that Republicans represented a majority of the southern congressional delegation — and they had hardly spent the Reagan years campaigning on the resurrection of Jim Crow.

It was not the Civil War but the Cold War that shaped midcentury partisan politics. Eisenhower warned the country against the “military-industrial complex,” but in truth Ike’s ascent had represented the decisive victory of the interventionist, hawkish wing of the Republican party over what remained of the America First/Charles Lindbergh/Robert Taft tendency. The Republican party had long been staunchly anti-Communist, but the post-war era saw that anti-Communism energized and looking for monsters to slay, both abroad — in the form of the Soviet Union and its satellites — and at home, in the form of the growing welfare state, the “creeping socialism” conservatives dreaded. By the middle 1960s, the semi-revolutionary Left was the liveliest current in U.S. politics, and Republicans’ unapologetic anti-Communism — especially conservatives’ rhetoric connecting international socialism abroad with the welfare state at home — left the Left with nowhere to go but the Democratic party. Vietnam was Johnson’s war, but by 1968 the Democratic party was not his alone.

The schizophrenic presidential election of that year set the stage for the subsequent transformation of southern politics: Segregationist Democrat George Wallace, running as an independent, made a last stand in the old Confederacy but carried only five states, while Republican Richard Nixon, who had helped shepherd the 1957 Civil Rights Act through Congress, counted a number of Confederate states (North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, and Tennessee) among the 32 he carried. Democrat Hubert Humphrey was reduced to a northern fringe plus Texas. Mindful of the long-term realignment already under way in the South, Johnson informed Democrats worried about losing it after the 1964 act that “those states may be lost anyway.” Subsequent presidential elections bore him out: Nixon won a 49-state sweep in 1972, and, with the exception of the post-Watergate election of 1976, Republicans in the following presidential elections would more or less occupy the South like Sherman. Bill Clinton would pick up a handful of southern states in his two contests, and Barack Obama had some success in the post-southern South, notably Virginia and Florida.

The Republican ascendancy in Dixie is associated with the rise of the southern middle class, the increasingly trenchant conservative critique of Communism and the welfare state, the Vietnam controversy and the rise of the counterculture, law-and-order concerns rooted in the urban chaos that ran rampant from the late 1960s to the late 1980s, and the incorporation of the radical Left into the Democratic party. Individual events, especially the freak show that was the 1968 Democratic convention, helped solidify conservatives’ affiliation with the Republican party. Democrats might argue that some of these concerns — especially welfare and crime — are “dog whistles” or “code” for race and racism, but this criticism is shallow in light of the evidence and the real saliency of those issues among U.S. voters of all backgrounds and both parties for decades. Indeed, Democrats who argue that the best policies for black Americans are those that are soft on crime and generous with welfare are engaged in much the same sort of cynical racial calculation President Johnson was practicing when he informed skeptical southern governors that his plan for the Great Society was “to have them niggers voting Democratic for the next two hundred years.” Johnson’s crude racism is, happily, largely a relic of the past, but his strategy endures.

— Kevin D. Williamson is a roving correspondent for National Review and the author of The Dependency Agenda, which will be published by Encounter Books on May 29.
This article appears in the May 28, 2012, issue of National Review.



TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gop
Yes, the Party of Civil Rights

The author rebuts his critics.

IMHO, he captured the history since the 1960s as I witnessed it.

1 posted on 05/25/2012 5:10:34 PM PDT by neverdem
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To: neverdem

for later


2 posted on 05/25/2012 5:17:07 PM PDT by Doctor 2Brains (If the government were Paris Hilton, it could not score a free drink in a bar full of lonely sailors)
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To: neverdem
He missed several items of considerable importance.

First, Richard Nixon had been around since WWII, and was a well known anti-Communist ~ which meant there were a good number of Democrats who didn't like him (since they were themselves Commies or fellow travelers).

So, Nixon came along and ran in 1960 against Kennedy. In the end NIxon got 30% of the black vote and JFK got 70%.

In 1964 it was Goldwater against LBJ. Goldwater had led the campaign in the Senate against passage of the 1964 Civil Rights Act. Whatever his personal beliefs, this was a disaster in the Fall when he ran as the Republican candidate. Goldwater got 1/10 the black vote that Nixon did, and LBJ got 97%!

Obviously black voters were very sensitive to the issue and simply did not write off Goldwater's position as a sort of academic exercise with no personal ill will meant.

That was the end of a long history of having the Republican party foster and develop black politicians. History now shows that the very last black US Senator until Carol Moseley Braun, Obama and Burris (all Chicago pols) was Edward William Brooke III, a Republican.

Goldwater's stupidest mistake in the 1964 election wasn't in driving away the black voters. Rather, he insulted Social Conservatives and made sure few if any of them got into positions of power inside the party.

The result was an electoral disaster. The acquisition of the Southern Baptists by the Republicans was delayed 6 years, and the acquisition of the half of the Catholics (those who attend church) was delayed 14 years ~

3 posted on 05/25/2012 6:03:01 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: neverdem; Impy; BillyBoy; Clintonfatigued; LS; AuH2ORepublican
Unfortunately, this is riddled with factual errors...

"The tiniest cracks in the Democrats’ southern bloc began to appear with the backlash to FDR’s court-packing scheme and the recession of 1937. Republicans would pick up 81 House seats in the 1938 election, with West Virginia’s all-Democrat delegation ceasing to be so with the acquisition of its first Republican."

First of all, most of the gains in 1938 were made almost exclusively outside the South, because of a ludicrous over-representation of Democrats in heavily Republican districts from coast to coast, carried over by FDR in his '36 reelection. As for WV, its "all Democrat delegation" was a product of 1932. From 1894 until 1932, WV was a HEAVILY and reliably Republican state. It was the rise of the labor unions in the state that turned it from a Republican to a heavily Democrat state. Peculiar was the claim that WV elected its "first" Republican in 1938. In the Wheeling-based 1st, it elected Andrew Schiffler, whom defeated the Democrat incumbent who was part of the 1932 wave. The 1st had elected mostly GOP members prior to 1932 going back 50 years, but moved towards the Democrats. Schiffler would be defeated after a single term in 1940 by the prior Democrat incumbent (and in turn, in another rematch, Schiffler would reclaim the seat for another single term in 1942).

"Kentucky elected a Republican House member in 1934"

Kentucky's eastern districts had been generally favorable to Republicans and mostly voted as their WV neighbors did from the 1870s onward. The heavily coal-mining counties, however, split from their western neighbors to vote for Democrats beginning in the 1930s (also due to union influence), a trend that can still be seen today. In 1928, Kentucky turned hard towards the GOP statewide and only in the rural two westernmost districts did Democrats survive the onslaught while the other 9 districts went to the GOP column. In 1932, all districts were elected statewide at-large, which allowed the Democrats to beat the Republicans in the eastern areas they couldn't were they elected by district. With redistricting in 1934, the GOP recaptured their premier eastern district, which had been Republican since 1886, and has since never returned to the Democrats (represented today by Hal Rogers, whose district was combined with a coal-mining union Democrat seat in 1992).

"as did Missouri,"

Missouri, like KY, had also taken a turn towards the GOP, but in the 1920s when they captured the legislature. In 1928, out of 16 districts, the GOP won 10 seats. The most GOP areas of MO were in and around St. Louis and the SW corner (Ozarks) centered around Springfield. Solely because of the Depression did the state return to its Democrat roots. My distant cousin, the former Republican Mayor of St. Louis, was the standard-bearer for the U.S. Senate seat in 1932. He received more votes than President Hoover, whom had carried MO in 1928 (but lost in '32). Like KY, in 1932, MO elected all of its districts statewide at-large because it lost 3 CDs due to reapportionment. The Dems, of course, won all the seats as a result, as they couldn't have won all the seats properly redistricted. As with the KY eastern district, the MO SW district, its most dependably Republican, returned its 1930 incumbent in 1934 once the lines were drawn, where he would serve without interruption for the next 20 years.

"while Tennessee’s first Republican House member, elected in 1918, was joined by another in 1932."

My state. This is also outright erroneous. TN had been Republican during Reconstruction, but unlike many other Southern states that were viscerally anti-GOP, the GOP always had at least 1 and usually 2 Republican members since after 1875. The most heavily GOP districts in the state were the 1st and 2nd, the 1st encompassing the rural mountain areas in the Eastern corner and the 2nd being the district centered on Knoxville. The Knoxville 2nd not only has never elected a Democrat in the modern era, it was a Whig district immediately prior to the Civil War. It has been about 160 years since it last elected a Democrat. In the 1920 Harding landslide, 5 of the 10 House members from TN were Republicans (sweeping out one prominent Democrat, that being Cordell Hull, FDR's future Secretary of State). However, aside from the 2 reliable eastern districts, 1920 would be the high water mark for the GOP. Not until 1962 would a Republican be elected outside the 1st & 2nd. There were no gains for the GOP on FDR's watch... indeed, not until JFK.

"Throughout the 1940s and 1950s, the Republican party, though marginal, began to take hold in the South — but not very quickly: Dixie would not send its first Republican to the Senate until 1961, with Texas’s election of John Tower."

Of course, this ignores the 1920s, and this also varied from state to state, as I cited above. For many Deep South states, there were only marginal gains, but mostly not until the 1960s. FL would not elect a Republican in the modern era (post Reconstruction or post-1900) until 1954. GA, MS & AL, not until 1964. SC, June 1965 (due to the resignation, party switch and special election of Albert Watson - which was ahead of Sen. Thurmond facing the electorate in 1966 as a Republican). AR, 1966. LA, 1972. NC had elected Republicans sporadically after 1900, as did Virginia and my example of WV. TX elected a rare one, one representing San Antonio in the 1920s until his death and a special election in the panhandle in 1950 (but lost the same year). Dallas would elect the next member in 1954, Bruce Alger (whom is still alive today at almost 94), and he was the Congressman during JFK's assassination (he would lose reelection after 5 terms the following year, as if the residents were atoning for the sin). While TX would elect John Tower to the Senate in the 1961 special, some of those aforementioned "border states" (such as MO, KY & WV) had elected GOP Senators in the post-1920s period.

"(John) Dowdy was thrown out in 1966 in favor of a Republican with a very respectable record on civil rights, a little-known figure by the name of George H. W. Bush."

Also false. TX redistricted its lines in 1966. At the time, TX had an all-Democrat House delegation going into 1966 (with the aforementioned Bruce Alger in Dallas & freshman Ed Foreman from a rural West TX district, both losing in the 1964 LBJ landslide). John Dowdy hailed from a rural eastern district. His 7th district became the 2nd in 1966 and he continued to be reelected until his retirement in 1972. He would be succeeded by the infamous Charlie Wilson. This old "yellow dog" Democrat district wouldn't be captured by the GOP until considerable redistricting made it possible in 2004. G.H.W. Bush won a newly-created heavily GOP Houston district in 1966 (the renumbered 7th) and served alongside Congressman Dowdy until his run for the Senate in 1970.

4 posted on 05/25/2012 6:17:56 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

But, as James Taranto would say, “apart from that, the story was accurate.” : )


5 posted on 05/25/2012 7:22:30 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; LS; Clintonfatigued; Impy; Clemenza; JohnnyZ; BillyBoy; Theodore R.

Doesn’t anyone fact-check these pieces before they’re printed ? The glaring errors were jaw-dropping and call into question the entire factual basis and conclusions in the article. The long-term realignment in the South is a very complex issue and varies from state to state. Civil Rights was only a part of the entire equation.

In fact, had the Depression never occurred (or had been dealt with by a Conservative, rather than liberal, Republican as Hoover was (in stark contrast to Conservatives Harding & Coolidge), and confined to a “Panic of 1929”), formal Republican realignment in the South (at least in the upper South) would’ve occurred in the 1930s, bringing the region more into line with the rest of the nation. The Deep South would’ve followed within the next 2 decades.

The deep-seated animosities felt by Southerners towards the National GOP in the aftermath of the Civil War & Reconstruction was beginning to melt by the 1920s. KY & NC voted above 40% for the GOP candidate in 1920 (49% & 43%). AR (39%), VA (38%), AL & FL (31% each) & LA (30%). TX was at 29% (for a combined Harding & Black & Tan ticket), GA at 28%. Only MS (at 14%) & SC (with a paltry 4%) were far-removed from the mainstream.

Fast forward to 1928 and enough Southerners felt comfortable enough to cast votes for the GOP ticket (albeit anti-Catholicism played a role) that 5 Cox states from 1920 went to Hoover (KY with 59%; FL with 57%; NC with 55%; VA with 54% & TX with 52%). AL & GA came rather close (with 48% & 43%). AR voted the same 39% it had in 1920. LA voted below its 1920 margin at 24% (with the Catholic Smith being a much stronger candidate, seen also in then-GOP states like MA & RI, which Smith both carried). Even hyper-Dem MS clicked up to 18% and SC at 9%.

Of those aforementioned states (again, as of 1928), however, the GOP state parties were weak or completely non-existent, so it was hard for Congressional candidates to take advantage. Only KY had a sweeping victory for Congressional candidates (winning 9 out of 11 CDs). VA sent 3 out of 10. NC sent 2 out of 10. TX sent just 1 (although it was contested and the Democrat loser occupied the seat until he was replaced by the GOP victor).

(In 1928) AL came close to electing 1 member in the 7th (North-Central) (and almost won it in 1920, and closely contested the 10th occupied by future Speaker Bankhead). In AR, the GOP was competitive in the Ozarks 3rd in both 1920 & 1928. In FL, 2 candidates in the 1st & 4th districts ran credible races in 1928. The GA GOP ran no candidates for Congress in 1920 or 1928. LA only ran 1 candidate in either election (in the New Orleans 2nd in 1928). MS & SC had only desultory non-Democrat opposition.

I noted some of these above to see how that related to where Republicans would make solid breakthroughs downballot years later, with Arkansas being a clear case of where the GOP presence existed in the Ozarks (the 3rd), but would be 1966 before they would elect another Republican since after Reconstruction (which would also help Winthrop Rockefeller to the Governorship that year). But clearly it was almost exclusively the Great Depression that hold back GOP competitiveness for decades to come (as Reconstruction had soured a good part of the South not holding pro-Unionist views for a half-century). Almost in the same way that Watergate would set back fortunes for the GOP in these same states from anywhere from 2 to almost 4 decades.

One wonders if Al Smith had managed to win the 1928 election and been President during the period, how would that have impacted the GOP ? Presumably, that might’ve fostered GOP growth in those aforementioned areas, but what would the GOP have stood for ? Less government as the Harding/Coolidge Conservatives advised or more government spending and intervention as Hoover and the “Progressives” pushed for ?

Of course, all this would be academic had Hoover used the successful Harding/Mellon approach to resolving a bad economy (as Harding inherited from Wilson). We’d never have had FDR expanding government to the proportions that have led to our current predicament. So many Democrat successes are entirely due to Republicans doing precisely the WRONG thing (one enormous reason why yours truly so vociferously opposes the very Hooveresque Willard, whom stands to become the next “black era” for the GOP if elected).


6 posted on 05/25/2012 9:03:08 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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To: muawiyah; BlackElk; EternalVigilance

Oops, meant to ping you to some of the discussion in this thread.


7 posted on 05/25/2012 9:04:30 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Of course, all this would be academic had Hoover used the successful Harding/Mellon approach to resolving a bad economy (as Harding inherited from Wilson).

You're missing the forest for the trees on two counts.

The Great Depression, like this Great Recession, was caused by too much credit and too much consumption. There was a huge load of bad debt. There were loads of bank failures. Until the Great Recession, all the other recessions since World War II were caused by the usual over production.

Check out "This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly" by Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, if you can or check C-Span for the video of Reinhart discussing the book. Recessions due to financial crises are a different animal altogether. That's why this administration's own economists have been saying that it could take many years for this mess to resolve.

The only thing the Harding/Mellon approach would have done is avoiding more debt with Keynesian stimulus. The only good thing we have now is two examples of Keynesian stimuli failing to work, FDR's and Obama's. It might still have taken world War II to end the Great Depression. We don't know. At least FDR got some useful public works done with his deficits. I don't believe we got any shovel ready projects with Obama's.

As far as the minutia of rat and GOP politics before LBJ, you're missing the author's point that it was the rats who opposed civil rights for blacks for over a century, and somehow got a pass on that because the rats chose to give freebies to blacks to keep them on the rat plantation, and that conservatives who want limited government are racist by definition.

8 posted on 05/25/2012 10:43:12 PM PDT by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
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To: neverdem
"As far as the minutia of rat and GOP politics before LBJ, you're missing the author's point that it was the rats who opposed civil rights for blacks for over a century, and somehow got a pass on that because the rats chose to give freebies to blacks to keep them on the rat plantation, and that conservatives who want limited government are racist by definition."

I'll address this first. I'm not missing the author's point. The problem is that his negligent errors detract greatly from the piece and the point he is trying to make (the 1938 analysis and comments like "George H.W. Bush prevailing over a Democrat segregationist in 1966"). It's like that other commentator who penned the infamous "MLK was a Republican", which was riddled with gross errors (including the very title itself, which was demonstrably false). This is a complicated subject with many nuances and it isn't helped when an author fails to do simple fact-checking.

"The Great Depression, like this Great Recession, was caused by too much credit and too much consumption. There was a huge load of bad debt. There were loads of bank failures. Until the Great Recession, all the other recessions since World War II were caused by the usual over production."

Whatever root cause one believes the Great Depression (or Great Recession, for that matter) is, the great mistake in attempting to remedy such downturns is aggressive action by the federal government (usually in the form of so-called 'stimulus'). Government staying out of such private sector/free market affairs is the best bet for resolving such problems. Politicians meddling only make things far worse. Allowing the free market to work itself out causes the least amount of pain for the long run. Hoover's meddling enabled FDR's and so on and so forth, just as Dubya paved the way for Zero's spending insanity. As "heartless" as it sounds, sometimes it is better to let things fail. We'd be in a much better place today if we did. FDR did a horrendous thing in making government the savior of people instead of having faith in the people themselves as individuals to resolve problems. Now we have huge swaths of dependent people who act as though government owes them everything. This was never a problem before the 1930s.

"It might still have taken world War II to end the Great Depression. We don't know. At least FDR got some useful public works done with his deficits."

It did take until WW2, if not longer, the damage FDR inflicted in compounding Hoover's meddling. As for "useful public works", again, at what cost ? We could've done without all of that mess and been in a far better and stronger place today with less of a mindset of the government being the answer to all of our problems.

9 posted on 05/25/2012 11:35:28 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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To: neverdem
Regarding 'overproduction', a severe session of mechanization, automation, computerization, robotics and improved methods certainly had the very same effect on the folks engaged in "industrial production" ~ they lost their jobs!

And those jobs are NOT coming back.

NOTE: the international shipping container has certainly eliminated transportation cost differentials everywhere for everything. That could have been foreseen in the mid-1960s so no one can claim to have been surprised.

Due to comparable developments in air transportation we are now involved in a massive world-wide re-deployment of ground resources so that cities such as Indianapolis, rather than Philadelphia, New York and Kansas City can serve as major points for "break of bulk" operations.

We might start examining Republican prospects when America is typified by 50% or less employment of the available workforce.

10 posted on 05/26/2012 4:36:07 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Government staying out of such private sector/free market affairs is the best bet for resolving such problems. Politicians meddling only make things far worse. Allowing the free market to work itself out causes the least amount of pain for the long run.

Bears repeating.

"Government does not solve problems; it subsidizes them."

-- Ronald Reagan


11 posted on 05/26/2012 4:44:43 AM PDT by EternalVigilance (Party like it's 1860.- America's Party - www.SelfGovernment.US)
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To: neverdem
Not one Democrat in Congress voted for the Fourteenth Amendment.

Not one Democrat in Congress voted for the Fifteenth Amendment.

Not one voted for the Civil Rights Act of 1875. Eisenhower as a general began the process of desegregating the military, and Truman as president formalized it, but the main reason either had to act was that President Wilson, the personification of Democratic progressivism, had resegregated previously integrated federal facilities. (“If the colored people made a mistake in voting for me, they ought to correct it,” he declared.) Klansmen from Senator Robert Byrd to Justice Hugo Black held prominent positions in the Democratic party — and President Wilson chose the Klan epic Birth of a Nation to be the first film ever shown at the White House.

Johnson himself denounced an earlier attempt at civil-rights reform as the “nigger bill.”

Why do I get the feeling this will NEVER be taught by Cornel West or include in any 'black history' readings?

12 posted on 05/27/2012 2:54:06 PM PDT by GOPJ ( "A Dog In Every Pot" - freeper ETL)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican

You know what bothers me? That people were payed to write and research this article.


13 posted on 05/29/2012 2:08:21 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: Impy

Thank goodness you weren’t “payed” for your post. : )


14 posted on 05/29/2012 3:57:25 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj

Doh! Al Gore level brain fart!

On the other hand someone should pay DJ for his.


15 posted on 05/29/2012 4:41:57 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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