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1 posted on 05/22/2012 12:28:45 PM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

WaPo/abc “poll”. This means Romney is up by at least 10 points.


2 posted on 05/22/2012 12:30:59 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Dumb, dependent and Democrat is no way to go through life. - Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-Texas)
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To: Kaslin

3 posted on 05/22/2012 12:33:08 PM PDT by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: Kaslin
Pathetic results for Obama despite the laughing oversampling of donkeys. It is very clear that Romney is winning the independents in almost every poll and he who wins the independents is going to win the elections... It is that simple...
5 posted on 05/22/2012 12:38:19 PM PDT by jveritas (God bless our brave troops)
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To: Kaslin
Just goes to show that every poll is worthless unless you know the internal composition of it and whether or not likely voters or just registered voters were used.

The 32/22/38 Dem/GOP/Independent split is a joke. Not only does it oversample the Dems but add them all up and you still have 8% unaccounted for.

6 posted on 05/22/2012 12:39:01 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: Kaslin

After all the lies they’ve been caught in, WaPo and ABC have no sense of shame whatever.


8 posted on 05/22/2012 12:42:11 PM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: Kaslin
Today’s D/R/I is 32/22/38, which means this model would only be predictive for a turnout model where only 22% of voters are Republican. Just to remind readers, the 2008 turnout split from exit polls showed a 39/32/29 split, and that was considered a nadir for Republican turnout. In the 2010 midterms, the split was 35/35/30.

This isn't a poll. It's an obammy campaign ad!

9 posted on 05/22/2012 12:42:54 PM PDT by pgkdan (ANYBODY BUT OBAMA!)
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To: Kaslin

in a poll of black lesbian communists maybe...


10 posted on 05/22/2012 12:43:10 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: Kaslin

Problem downloading site but good points presented.


12 posted on 05/22/2012 12:44:05 PM PDT by ZULU (Non Nobis Domine Non Nobis Sed Nomini Tuo Da Gloriam.)
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To: Kaslin
Today’s D/R/I is 32/22/38, which means this model would only be predictive for a turnout model where only 22% of voters are Republican

It's time for the Democrat pollsters to go all out.

Just do a D/R/I of 72/-18/38.

You know, 72% of the voters would be Democrat, NEGATIVE 18% would be Republicans, and 38% would be independents.

The way you count those votes is, when a negative-percenter in the Republican column indicates a preference for Romney, you REMOVE a vote count.

14 posted on 05/22/2012 12:49:11 PM PDT by Lazamataz (The so-called 'mainstream' media has gone from "biased" straight to "utterly surreal".)
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To: Kaslin

Heh.. They may be right...

I know Im NOT going to go out and vote for the GOP’s socialist candidate.

LOL, whos supposed to keep him in “check” again? Boner?

Best bet for the GOP is to talk enough of the delegates into skipping the first round or voting at the convention, cause I don’t think the folks who say they wont vote for a socialist even if he has a R behind his name are bluffing. I know Im not...


15 posted on 05/22/2012 12:49:46 PM PDT by myself6
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To: Kaslin

Any conservative COULD win, but
Romney was chosen by the DNC and Soros and
the GOPe because he is a loser, nearly
identical to Obama.


17 posted on 05/22/2012 12:51:26 PM PDT by Diogenesis ("Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. " Pres. Ronald Reagan)
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To: Kaslin

Romney wins 55/45 according to the math.

Only 27% of the independents went for Obama in this poll.

Assume the D/R/I this time is 37/33.5/29.5 which is the average of 2008 / 2010.

Obama 45%, Romney 55%

They know this. They have better quants working than I.


19 posted on 05/22/2012 12:57:44 PM PDT by cicero2k
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To: Kaslin
propaganda to support the dem / obozo ballet fraud come Nov.
20 posted on 05/22/2012 12:58:15 PM PDT by drypowder
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To: Kaslin

Starting in January, the poll has consisted of Republicans at 25%, 23%, 27%, 23%, and now 22%.

If we extapolate these results, there will 19% Republicans by November.


24 posted on 05/22/2012 1:05:19 PM PDT by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est; zero sera dans l'enfer bientot.)
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To: Kaslin

The terrifying part is that 45% either don’t know or believe that government is best at creating jobs. This election is a close thing and unless we get our children’s minds back from the government school system our America isn’t long for this world.


27 posted on 05/22/2012 1:11:27 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Kaslin

That 47% of any sample could say that Obama could handle the economy better than anyone else speaks to the insanity of the group.


28 posted on 05/22/2012 1:21:55 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Ineptocracy; the Obama way.)
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To: Kaslin

That 47% of any sample could say that Obama could handle the economy better than anyone else speaks to the insanity of the group.


29 posted on 05/22/2012 1:22:19 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Ineptocracy; the Obama way.)
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To: Kaslin

That 47% of any sample could say that Obama could handle the economy better than anyone else speaks to the insanity of the group.


30 posted on 05/22/2012 1:22:28 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Ineptocracy; the Obama way.)
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To: Kaslin

People are simply are lying to the poll takers simply to not reveal their true feelings about Obama, which is negivtive at best.


32 posted on 05/22/2012 1:23:58 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: Kaslin

The terrifying part is that 45% either don’t know or believe that government is best at creating jobs. This election is a close thing and unless we get our children’s minds back from the government school system our America isn’t long for this world.


33 posted on 05/22/2012 1:29:00 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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