Romney wins 55/45 according to the math.
Only 27% of the independents went for Obama in this poll.
Assume the D/R/I this time is 37/33.5/29.5 which is the average of 2008 / 2010.
Obama 45%, Romney 55%
They know this. They have better quants working than I.
It may be because people are simply tired of seeing Obama everywhere in their face with his teleprompter. Too much Obama means he definitely will never win.