another 3rd shifter I see. First of all, national polls don’t matter, they never do. All that matters to Mitt Romney is “flipping” enough previously blue battleground states and/or other previously blue states and, as I said, that means he has to flip Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana, NH, and one other previously blue state. failing to flip the “one other previously blue state” puts him at 265 EVs to Obama’s 273. So, I am sure he’ll grab a few of those states but I don’t believe the demographics are sufficiently in his favor to flip ALL of them.
First of all, national polls don’t matter, they never do.
State polls in the swing states matter more but still it's retarded to pretend national polls mean nothing. If Romney is polling ahead nationally it's not plausible that he'd lose states that are more Republican than the country. That alone places him on the cusp of victory. If you win the popular vote by more than 1% the chances you'll lose the electoral college is slim.
that means he has to flip Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana, NH, and one other previously blue state.
For the THIRD TIME that collection of states results in exactly 270, learn to count my friend. How many votes do you have those adding up to because I'm telling you the correct number is 270. Even if he needed 2 more states which he wouldn't because that collection of states results in exactly 270 I think he'll get Iowa and Colorado is 50/50. And there are several other states Obama won in play.
And you are making it sound like Romney is starting from where McCain did an has to make up that ground somehow. If so where have you been the past 4 years? Obama was on a high in 2008, he's come back to Earth. He's not gonna get that same high turnout with Blacks or White college idiots and he's not gonna do as well with independents.
Also this isn't a video game where Romney is expending bullets to "flip states" one at a time and he's gonna run out of ammo before he can get the last one or something like that. Your characterization of the race is very bizarre to me, forgive me for not quite understanding.
Every state is on a pendulum and that pendulum has swung further to the Republican side than it was in 2008.