I’m giving Mitt Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and NC plus the safe states and he still loses when obama takes Pennsylvania, WV, Colorado, NM, NV, Wisconsin and the rest of the safe dem states. the thing is though, I’m not convinced that Romney will take Ohio. The point is, he has a very difficult fight ahead and a landslide seems pretty unlikely for either candidate.
“I’m giving Mitt Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and NC plus the safe states”
Then your math is wrong or you miscounted some state
http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/evcalc.php
There’s a good tool
He’s certain the win the McCain states (and all votes from Nebraska which split last time) plus Indiana and I don’t see how Obama could win NC again either. That leaves the big three of Florida, Virginia, and Ohio. All must wins.
Those would make it 266 (not 251), 1 small state short of victory. New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado. New Hampshire is his home state since he left office, went huge Republican in 2010 and is very White, I think he wins it(and VA and Florida). So if wins Ohio I think he wins.