[Clintonfatigued]

This is a list of various electoral vote formulas which could lead to a Republican victory. They all sound plausible.

[GOPsterinMA]

Romney wins with over 300 EV’s: All the Bush 2004 states plus NH, WI, ME-02 and quite possibly PA and MI.

It should be a fairly early night. Plus, the House stays GOP and the Senate turns GOP.

Write it down.

[BillyBoy]

On paper it sounds pretty easy. I pretty sure IN and NC will flip back to the GOP column without even any effort on our part (one of my liberal RAT friends even admitted that NC is "dead to her" after the gay marriage vote and she thinks the Dems should just concede those 15 electoral votes to the GOP)

I think Virginia is doable with a good ground game and strong candidates further down the ticket, and even states that Bush tried his hardest to win but always ended up in the RAT column by 1% -- like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania -- swung to the GOP in 2010 and now look winnable if we do it right. IMO, Nevada, Iowa and Ohio, Colorado are wildcards equally divided between the two parties that could go either way depending on a variety of factors. The only "McCain state" the Dems think they can win in McCain's home state of Arizona. They won't take it, especially given the excitement of Dems in 2008 vs. 2012, but I hope they blow a ton of money wasting their time in the state and trying to get out the "Hispanic vote", as if all Hispanics are like blacks and will mindlessly vote for Obama.

On paper, our chances for victory are very, very good. But I have a sinking feeling about Romney, and that he'll find someway to screw this up. Ick.