As I said earlier, Sarkozy has been kind of a disappointment, only moderately conservative in his actual governing, and doing little or nothing about the Muslim immigrant threat.
Hard to say from those numbers who will win. Sarkozy has Le Pen to the right of him, and Hollande the Socialist has an “extreme leftist” to the left of him. The voters will have to choose between Sarkozy and Hollande.
Even more important than the economy—but related to it—France has to stop letting Muslims flood into their country from their former colonies. Le Pin is the only one who might actually do something about that, but the majority of French voters still refuse to face facts. The left has labeled her father and her Nazis not because of their economic views, but because they say that France should be for the French, and they don’t need all those Muslim Arabs sitting in public housing, eating on public welfare, blocking the streets during prayer time, and burning cars in their spare time.
Sarkozy told Chirac that he ought to do something about that problem, but he hasn’t done much himself, beyond a few token gestures.
I think Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the Ayatollah have been kind of a disappointment, they put forward moderately pro-Jewish policies in Iran...