” An electoral vote landslide (>10% margin of victory in electoral votes) is a given - the only question is the magnitude. And that will depend on Romney choosing a solid conservative as veep.”
I wish I had your optimism, but I don’t.
Here’s my prediction (from another thread):
Romney wins it 270 to 268 electoral votes.
Obama gets:
CA
CO
CT
DC
DE
HI
IA
IL
MA
MD
ME
MI
MN
NM
NV
NY
OR
PA
RI
VT
WA
WI
Romney gets the rest, including Florida, Virginia, and Ohio. Without ALL of these, he loses.
Even with the numbers above, Nebraska could throw a wrench into things because their electoral votes are “split” (not winner-take-all). Suppose Obama wins the district that includes Omaha? In that case, wouldn’t it end up as a 269-269 tie? (Note, Maine also assigns electoral votes proportionally, but I expect Obama to win everything there).
Too bad the Republican legislature of Pennsylvania failed to pass legislation making PA a “proportionally-assigned electoral vote” state. If that were the case, Romney might pick up at least half of the ev’s there.
But this election isn’t going to be easy.
It’s going to be a squeaker or a blowout.
And for the “R guy”, the best he can hope for is being the squeaker....
That’s the way I see it...
When did Romney win the nomination?
I could see Romney winning PA and/or CO.
........then what happens when Romney’s bishopness in a cult is broadcast? Oy boy....
A squeaker spells trouble for us because democrats can control a close election with fraud and activist judges.