RCP Obama vs Gingrich - Obama +13.7%
RCP Obama vs Santorum - Obama +8.7%
So, since Santorum will be beaten by Obama, we should pick Gingrich?
Do you believe if Gingrich became the nominee, that those would be the numbers?
And if they were, do you honestly believe Obama has such an edge?
At this point you need to use your instincts. National polls mean nothing. Carter was ahead of Reagan by 30 points at this point in his election cycle. The national polls move drastically. They really are meaningless. Now the polls showing and election a few days out tend to be pretty good.