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To: CharlesWayneCT

Do you believe if Gingrich became the nominee, that those would be the numbers?

And if they were, do you honestly believe Obama has such an edge?


49 posted on 03/15/2012 10:23:25 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I don’t generally act based on polls. But they are an informational data point. And the one-on-one matchup polls have been very consistant for some time now. Romney and Santorum have both polled very well against Obama, while Gingrich has consistantly been losing by double-digits to Obama ever since I can remember.

The last time Gingrich actually beat Obama in a one-on-one poll was in November of 2011 (Gingrich +2). He hasn’t been closer than 9% in the RCP average in 2012, and he has been down by more than 10% since January 16th.

In contrast, in 2012 the MOST Santorum has every been behind is 10.3%, and he’s been closer than 8% since his surge in mid-February (I was wrong on my Santorum numbers, it’s currently 7.9% not 8.7%)


55 posted on 03/15/2012 10:47:50 AM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; CharlesWayneCT
[CWCT] RCP Obama vs Gingrich - Obama +13.7%
RCP Obama vs Santorum - Obama +8.7%

So, since Santorum will be beaten by Obama, we should pick Gingrich?

[CW] Do you believe if Gingrich became the nominee, that those would be the numbers? And if they were, do you honestly believe Obama has such an edge?



Other candidates like Ronald Reagan have trailed by wide margins this early in a campaign and still won going away.

As long as the candidate is perceived as a conservative to Obama's Carter-like screwup liberal, and the Chicago Slime Machine can't change his image entirely (they'll try, no matter who it is), he should be able to handle Obama. Either Santorum or Gingrich could do it. Santorum would need some help with slime-fighting and squashing the ankle-biters (he'll want Gingrich on campaign with him, and Dubya proved that trying to ignore them does not work), but he can do it. Newt can do it.

The point now is that they keep Romney from running the table, that they keep the convention open.

90 posted on 03/16/2012 12:39:27 PM PDT by lentulusgracchus
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