[entropy12]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2857771/posts?page=4#4

Looking at states yet to hold primaries, such as IL, PA, NY, CA, DC, MD, CT, DE, RI, OR, UT etc 46% is not impossible.

My guess is Newt will be forced to drop out or just limp along till end. You know the old adage, candidates do not quit, they just run out of money.

[SoConPubbie]

Looking at states yet to hold primaries, such as IL, PA, NY, CA, DC, MD, CT, DE, RI, OR, UT etc 46% is not impossible.

Maybe not impossible, but not probable and as the reality sinks into the conservative base that a win by Romney is neither inevitable or probable based on his continual losses, Romney will have a higher and higher mountain to climb as the rest of the Primaries unfold.

Another factor to factor in, is that the base in the states that have already held their primaries and who had to endure the endless and ugly and dishonest negative ad blitzes by Romney, will be talking to their friends and families in other states that have not held their primary.

Romney's only effective weapon in this campaign, false advertising, will become less and less effective.

Romney's chances are looking bleak!

[aegiscg47]

Yours is one of the saner predictions on here. Like it or not the odds are very high that Romney is going to hit this number, especially with NY and CA still on the list. Utah and/or Oregon will put him over the top and he will end up as the candidate. Although it's fun to speculate and discuss about brokered conventions, 3rd party candidates getting into the race late, etc., the reality is that those things have an extremely slim chance of happening. I'm not saying that everyone here has to like a Romney candidacy, but you can't ignore the reality that he in all likelihood will get the needed number of candidates.