[JediJones]

Wrong, Romney had about 53% of the delegates as of last week even with only 39% of the vote. It gets easier for him to accumulate more in an imbalanced fashion since many more states will now be winner-take-all, including Puerto Rico, D.C., Utah, Delaware, etc. No predictions can now be made without an extremely careful state-by-state analysis analyzing every single rule in detail. The delegates needed to deny him the nomination are too close now. Nothing but a game-changer like Newt or Rick dropping out or Mitt getting indicted for something can ensure a Romney loss.

[trappedincanuckistan]

Are you sure Jedi? There are still big states to come that are not winner take all. For instance, how can Rick or Newt singlehandedly prevent Romney from getting any delegates in California? That’s kind of naive IMO.

[SoConPubbie]

Wrong, Romney had about 53% of the delegates as of last week even with only 39% of the vote. It gets easier for him to accumulate more in an imbalanced fashion since many more states will now be winner-take-all, including Puerto Rico, D.C., Utah, Delaware, etc. No predictions can now be made without an extremely careful state-by-state analysis analyzing every single rule in detail. The delegates needed to deny him the nomination are too close now. Nothing but a game-changer like Newt or Rick dropping out or Mitt getting indicted for something can ensure a Romney loss.

The following remaining states are proportional:

1. Louisiana
2. Conneticut
3. New York
4. Pennsylvania
5. Rhode Island
6. North Carolina
7. West Virginia
8. Oregon
9. Arkansas
10. Kentucky
11. Texas
12. New Mexico
13. South Dakota


The following are settled at a State Convention:

1. Illinois
2. Missouri
3. Indiana
4. Nebraska
5. Montana


The following are Winner-take-all:

1. Puerto Rico
2. Maryland
3. Washington D.C.
4. Wisconsin
5. Delaware
6. California
7. New Jersey
8. Utah


So, out of the 26 primaries left, only 8 are winner-take-all, and many of those are very small in total number of delegates.