[humblegunner]

You seem to have missed the Chat forum:

http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/chat-forum/index

Or maybe Bloggers & Personal:

http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/bloggers-forum/index

Either way, your opinion IS NOT NEWS.

[sodpoodle]

Just because Romney has never received 79% of any vote is not the same as 79% of the remaining delegates.

It would be possible to win the required delegates with his usual 30% showing.

Or, have I missed your point?

[DManA]

I have been trying to make this point for days. These delegate counts are pure fantasy. No one has any idea how the caucus state delegates are going to vote until the vote is counted at the convention. They are completely free agents.

[varon]

BTTT

[seekthetruth]

Thank you so much for posting this thread! I have been wanting to see the more accurate information on delegate totals for each candidate.

[Diogenesis]

“35 Romney endorsers received contributions first”

---

Poser backstabber at work:
"Y’all!!!! Did I tell you I love grits.
They are the perfect size.
Thank me! Look what I found for attention!
Put this thingy on the roof
of my wife’s second Cadillac."

[Sen Jack S. Fogbound]

I might mention the contested states FL and AZ regarding the “Winner Takes All”.

Gingrich clearly won Florida based on proportional delegates and he won most of the counties there.

Romney won the more populous area in the “Golden Coast”, a place filled with New Yorkers and such with the WTA rule.

AZ is more unclear.

So any count of delegates can be based on pure fantasy!

[TLI]

Romney candidacy is so damaged, so weakened already, so I suspect the national leaders who make up of super-delegates and those at convention committees and caucuses will vote against him.

WE WILL HAVE A BROKERED CONVENTION IN TAMPA AND NEWT WILL BE THE EVENTUAL WINNER!!

If Sarah Palin, Rick Perry and John Huntsman join Newt on the stage at the convention supporting him you just might have something there. If it remains splintered look for games with the rules, exemptions and switching support orchestrated by the go-pees to put Willard on the ticket.

.

[CharlesWayneCT]

I think people are getting too hung up on “bound” and “unbound”, because of a lack of understanding, or a willful desire to minimize, the truth of the delegate selection process.

For example, in Ohio the delegates are not legally bound. So here they are called “unbound”.

But they were selected by the candidates to be on the ballots. Does anybody REALLY think that a Romney-selected delegate is a target for switching? As Ohio rules say, the delegates are “morally bound” — do you think that Rick Santorum has imoral delegates, or Gingrich has picked delegates that are secretly wanting to switch to Ron Paul?

It would be like one of the well-known freepers here suddenly switching allegiance in midstream. Yes, it happens on rare occasions, so theoretically you could have a couple of delegates move around.

But only if the candidate did a poor job of picking delegates can you count on any movement — and of all the campaigns, it is LEAST LIKELY that Romney, who does have the organization, would have been half-hearted in picking delegates.

So it is actually MORE likely that Santorum or Gingrich would lose their “morally bound” delegates to Romney, than the other way around.

[CharlesWayneCT]

BTW, if you think the guy with the most delegates, the most votes, and the most states won is “hopelessly damaged”, what makes you think that Newt, who has the least delegates, the least votes, and the least states won, is going to get picked instead?

If the delegates decide to dump Romney, it will be to drag in a white night. The only way for Newt or Santorum to win is to either get enough delegates themselves, or get enough that with the other’s delegates, they will have a majority. If Romney + Paul have a majority, you can forget Newt Gingrich.

And given GIngrich’s current position, I think you can probably forget him anyway. I suppose that if he pulls off his southern strategy, he might end up with more delegates or votes than Santorum — but if he does, it will mean Santorum has crashed, and Romney will be even further beyond both, and the Santorum/Gingrich team won’t have a majority.

However, I’d love one of the other number-crunchers to double check me on that — In my view, there is no way for Newt to win enough delegates that he ends up 2nd and Santorum/Gingrich together have a majority.

[Bailee]

Thanks about time someone did the real math. Mittens is worried he is not going to get his magic slippers(1144) to the coronation.

[billva]

What a load of do do. It's called whistling past the graveyard.

Like it or not Romney is in the drivers seat.

Like it or not Romney has the best chance at beating Obama.

Like it or not there is not much chance of Gringich or Santorum winning the nomination, and even less chance they could win.