[zeestephen]

I think Obama’s support from Jewish Americans will stay close to 80% - no matter what he does, or says, or fails to do concerning Israel.

Except for Florida, the national Jewish vote is concentrated in heavily Democratic states that will vote for Obama no matter what.

I think Obama’s sudden pro-Israel charm offensive is aimed at white Evangelicals, who voted about 30% for Obama in 2008.

Evangelical political support for Israel is passionate.

In states like Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Indiana, and Iowa, Evangelicals could swing the vote for or against Obama.

[Pharmboy]

I respectfully disagree...I believe that Obama will get about 55% support from Jews this time around. Still way too much, but no way will he get more. This is based on two things: 1) The number of Jewish friends and relatives who say they will not support him this time around and 2) the polls.

And, of course, this will not matter in NY or CA (since, as you say those stated will go barama anyway), but could be VERY important in FL, PA, OH and MI.