[gandalftb]

Israel can capably get tankers airborne over the Black Sea.

More likely they will have all aircraft airborne in many directions to draw attention away from the mission aircraft.

[grey_whiskers]

Likely that they feint with three or four sets of aircraft from different directions to divert attention away from the first strike of nuclear-tipped cruise missiles...to be followed by a salvo from one of their boomers.

That is, in mathematical terms, if and only if Iran does something dumb like a chemical warhead strike on Israel.

NO cheers, unfortunately.