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To: sukhoi-30mki
The New York Times report cast doubt on Israel’s success chances,

Noooo, get outta here, really?

.

2 posted on 02/20/2012 8:32:02 PM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
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To: TLI

They can do it but again logistics comes into play. This air battle will dwarf the Battle of Britain and War over Europe.

My Thesis:

They may strech the IAF to the limits. Many on these facilities are underground so a 5000 pound bomb will not cut it.A reasonable expectation that by 2010 Iran could pose a serious threat to its neighbors and Israel by creating enough of an inventory of nuclear weapons to deter an Israeli strike.

Take in the Factors:

1.Iran obtains a modern surface-to-air missile (SAM) defense system, such as the Russian S-300 PMU2—Favorit (currently in negotiation)—giving Iran an advanced 2.Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) capability in addition to an advanced SAM Air Defense System.
3.Development of a maritime capability to threaten commercial shipping and Naval Forces in the Persian Gulf and possibly interrupt the flow of oil through the Straits of Hormuz.
4.Possession of highly accurate short, medium and long range ballistic missiles capable of carrying Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD).
5.Use of a number of trained and controlled counter insurgency groups to increase the threat of asymmetric attacks against Israel (part of the scenario of the Turning Point 3 exercises).
A recent study indicates that although the task is daunting, a military strike by Israel is possible utilizing a flight pattern along the Syrian-Turkish border, then over a small portion of Iraq, then into Iran and back the same route.


5 posted on 02/20/2012 8:48:06 PM PST by U-238
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