Posted on 01/30/2012 7:52:53 PM PST by georgiagirl_pam
Their last few Tweets: Our final Florida numbers: Romney 39, Gingrich 31, Santorum 15, Paul 11 Mitt's up 45-32 with those who have already voted in Florida, about a third of the electorate: Newt has to win election day voters by 6-8 to pull upset, but Mitt up 36-30 with ppl who plan to vote tmrw Mitt up big with all his core groups in FL- 39 pt lead with moderates, 12 with seniors, 12 with women Newt only winning his core groups by single digits- 8 pts with Tea Party, 6 with Evangelicals. Not enough
“Mitt’s up 45-32 with those who have already voted in Florida, about a third of the electorate:
Shows how uniformed the voters are
All those ads about the House Ethics problems did their job and yet the truth has been out for years .
MSM knew it and said diddly
GOP elites know it and kept silent
This has been the most unethical ad campaign I have witnessed
Newt’s PAC better have ads ready for the next state pointing Romney’s blatant lies “
NEWT NEEDS RICK PERRYS AD PEOPLE! They did some great ads for him, and super fast too. Shame that he had already gotten to the point of no return first.
But his ad people were great. (Unless it was Perry that put those concepts together)
Ouch. That will likely make even a miracle finish by Newt meaningless. I have been told a TON of folks voted early.
As Newt said tonight, unless Romney starts winning 50% or more of the vote ...there is NO way conservatives are going to let him run away with the nomination. Delegates from here on out are PROPORTIONAL.
SOMEONE will have to drop out — that someone will have to be Santorum. Even Paul.
We have MORE than enough votes to kick Romney OUT OF THE GAME FOR GOOD — UNITE, Conservatives ...COME THE HELL ON and UNITE!!!!!!!!!!!!
I’m ready, personally, for some new spokespersons for Newt ..forget Palin and her cryptic Fox News crap ...forget ALL of them ...forget RUSh ...for God’s sake, forget Cain ... ready for some NEW BLOOD, Newt ...time to bring it out!!
Except that most polls show if Santorum got out, his votes would split 50/50 for Newt/Romney. Most of the pollsters have asked the Mitt/Newt head to head, and the spread is the same with all 4, or just the 2.
It’s widely held misconception, not based on factual information. The public is much better informed now than they were 50 years ago. That is why most endorsements don’t mean much anymore. In the past, people would say if Candidate X is supported by Y, then they are good enough for me. Doesn’t work much anymore. The reason the candidates seek endorsements is not so much to influence voters. But it is to gain resources from who endorsed them and also helps with their fundraising. But the endorsements themselves change very few minds with voters.
If conservatives united ...we’d be +-57 to 49 in Florida!! We’d cruise to victory from here on out!!!
What is UP with us???? Can we not do the math??
We should have bound and gagged Paul from the START. Same with Santorum at this point. I’m SO disgusted!!
Shows the trend is toward Newt, who has been on Fox a lot and looking pretty good there. I’m predicting a narrow Romney win of 2-4 points. Santorum leaving the state is good for +1 or 2 for Newt.
It’s still an 8 point lead for the Socialist lite, but it leaves the door a bit ajar for Newt to pull of an upset with a big turnout from his supporters and low turnout from Willard’s sheeple.
Plus Romney has underperformed his poll numbers in each of the three votes so far
Pray for Newt and an upset win tomorrow.
Looks doable to me.
Unlikely. And you guys really need to stop pushing this idea.
Look, Santorum was around 12% when Romney was ahead, and was around 12% when Gingrich was ahead, and regardless of what the poll says now, will finish with about 12% tomorrow. Santorum wasn’t hurting Newt’s ability to carry FL when Newt was up with over 40% of the vote, but now that Newt has lost that lead everybody want to blame Santorum? Everyone knows the key demographics of FL are the Senior Voters and Hispanics. At one time or another, Newt led those categories, but he lost them last week to Romney. These two categories for the most part are NOT Santorum voters. Whoever carries Hispanics and Seniors wins FL.
FL has A LOT of moderate/liberal voters, to the point they do make up a plurality of GOP voters. It’s quite possible, depending on turnout, that Romney’s vote total may exceed Gingrich and Santorum combined. If that happens, then what will the excuse be?
I finished my FL Simulation early today and posted in another thread, showing three different models based on turnout and a county by county breakout. In the “best-case” Scenario, Newt is down 7, in the middle case, about 15-16, and in the worse case 26.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2840149/posts
I disagree with the polls on that...doubt many Santorum voters would ever go for the socialist pro choice candidate
I can guess too:
Gingrich 30
Santorum 29
Romney 29
Paul 10
uh, no, FLorida would have had 99, instead they have 50. ......Which is less than Georgia or Tennessee about the same as OK, all of which will go Gingrich if he stays in.
They lost half, so have 50 instead of 100.
“Early on I liked Santorum but watching him in the debates, especially the last two, I see him as a nasty, spiteful, little man with grandiose, unrealistic expectations. “
I don’t see Rick as nasty, just out of his league. He doesn’t even realize that he’s out of his league.
Nasty is everything Romney unleashed so far. All the lies and deception...
Nevertheless, he has earned the animus of every conservative who wants to win.
Eternally.
He'll never win anything, ever, again.
IT’S THE MONEY!!!!! Newt will NEVER be able to match establishment
money!!!!!
I was wondering how the delegates were proportioned after FL, and that bodes well for Newt.
They’ve spun FL as a blowout for Romney. They’ve set themselves up the bomb cuz if it’s only even single digits Romney looks like a chump and a loser.
I believe it will go all the way to convention.
He won by 14.
Yup, and like SC, the numbers show a trend back toward Gingrich with early voters pro-Romney, late voters not so much. I think Mitt will still win but get a scare.
Probably the ones who are steadfastly committed to their candidate.
I'd vote against obama tomorrow.
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