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To: katiedidit1

Unlikely. And you guys really need to stop pushing this idea.

Look, Santorum was around 12% when Romney was ahead, and was around 12% when Gingrich was ahead, and regardless of what the poll says now, will finish with about 12% tomorrow. Santorum wasn’t hurting Newt’s ability to carry FL when Newt was up with over 40% of the vote, but now that Newt has lost that lead everybody want to blame Santorum? Everyone knows the key demographics of FL are the Senior Voters and Hispanics. At one time or another, Newt led those categories, but he lost them last week to Romney. These two categories for the most part are NOT Santorum voters. Whoever carries Hispanics and Seniors wins FL.

FL has A LOT of moderate/liberal voters, to the point they do make up a plurality of GOP voters. It’s quite possible, depending on turnout, that Romney’s vote total may exceed Gingrich and Santorum combined. If that happens, then what will the excuse be?

I finished my FL Simulation early today and posted in another thread, showing three different models based on turnout and a county by county breakout. In the “best-case” Scenario, Newt is down 7, in the middle case, about 15-16, and in the worse case 26.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2840149/posts


29 posted on 01/30/2012 9:00:58 PM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: parksstp

IT’S THE MONEY!!!!! Newt will NEVER be able to match establishment
money!!!!!


36 posted on 01/30/2012 9:07:40 PM PST by Kit cat (OBummer must go)
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To: parksstp

“...you guys really need to stop pushing this idea.”

You need to stop telling other people what to do.


47 posted on 01/30/2012 10:27:34 PM PST by moonhawk (Romney tucks his tail and licks the hand that beats him. Newt rips it off at the shoulder.)
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To: parksstp
"...FL has A LOT of moderate/liberal voters, to the point they do make up a plurality of GOP voters. It’s quite possible, depending on turnout, that Romney’s vote total may exceed Gingrich and Santorum combined. If that happens, then what will the excuse be...?

Did Newt get a standing ovation in Florida debates, as he in in SC?

"Pollster Frank Luntz...'I've never seen it in a debate — and I've been to debates for 16 years — a standing ovation in the middle of a debate...'"

Is a standing ovation still permitted by the MSM?

56 posted on 01/31/2012 3:49:04 AM PST by Does so ("What elephant?")
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