“In my opinion Romney is finished if he loses Florida. He’ll probably win Michigan and Nevada but where else?”
Not a lot. Probably Illinois (I can’t imagine the GOP wing of The Combine being neutral on this). I think that Romney will sweep Utah and most of New England and maybe New Jersey (if he’s still in the race by then).
Back when Cain was the frontrunner there was a poll showing him leading Romney here in IL, for what it’s worth. Poor Mark Kirk is in no shape to help Romney campaign anymore.
Romney is just so disliked and disconnected from the Republican base.