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Intrade: Newt Gingrich to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary - 57.5%
Intrade ^ | 1/19/12 | Intrade

Posted on 01/19/2012 8:11:37 PM PST by BCrago66

The Intrade investors are (unlike Newt supporters such as myself) unsentimental, and for the first time in the run-up to the South Carolina primary, their collective assessment has Newt as the favorite, with a 57.5% chance of winning. Even earlier today, after all the favorable morning & afternoon polls came out, Newt was only at about 42%.

What made the difference? A couple candidates:

1) Yet another PPP poll came out about 1/2 hour ago, including polling done this very night, showing Gingrich maintaining his 6 point lead.

2) Santorum's attack Chiwawa routine at the CNN debate tonight drew some blood re Romney, but mostly damaged Santorum himself, and will, IMHO, accelerate the South Carolina voter exodus from Santorum to Gingrich.

(Excerpt) Read more at intrade.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: attackchiwawa; newtgingrich; southcarolina
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1 posted on 01/19/2012 8:11:43 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

WOW! That’s hugh and series indeed!


2 posted on 01/19/2012 8:15:54 PM PST by bigbob
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To: BCrago66

I agree with point 2. Santorum nailed Romneycare, but he came off real bad overall. His demeanor was amateurish - whiny, angry and just unlikable.

This will help Newt.


3 posted on 01/19/2012 8:17:36 PM PST by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else.)
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To: BCrago66

I’m probably full of it but IMHO, Newt won the nomination with his first answer at the debate tonight. The abc smear piece with Newt’s ex-wife just ain’t workin’ for the DNC toadies in the “media”. That dog won’t hunt. Any remaining respect for the state run “media” just got whacked down a few more notches. Another exploding cigar for the DemocRATS. They fall for it every time.


4 posted on 01/19/2012 8:18:09 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer ("Climate Change" my a.... All weather is local.)
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: nhwingut

Santorum had the best closing on why he’s most electable against Obama than either Newt/Romney. The diverse CNN panel thought he’s was one of the best performances of the night. I agree. Watch Santorum’s numbers go up. He’s on CNN’s Morgan Piers tomorrow night.


6 posted on 01/19/2012 8:23:00 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: nhwingut

Santorum had the best closing on why he’s most electable against Obama than either Newt/Romney. The diverse CNN panel thought he’s was one of the best performances of the night. I agree. Watch Santorum’s numbers go up. He’s on CNN’s Piers Morgan tomorrow night.


7 posted on 01/19/2012 8:23:30 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: BCrago66

Please go to Drudge and Freep his poll!


8 posted on 01/19/2012 8:23:32 PM PST by Kansas58
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To: Kansas58

Oh my goodness. I don’t go to Drudge but I did on your request and I am just stunned how much info is negative on Gingrich. Nothing Romney? Not even a small headline? Nothing. Folks have been saying this all night but I sorta didn’t think much about it. I am still stunned. lol.


9 posted on 01/19/2012 8:29:53 PM PST by napscoordinator (Newt MUST win the nomination to get rid of Romney and Obama....Dear God let November 2012 go our way)
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To: BCrago66
Awesome!!

And Santorum is a whiny little turd.

10 posted on 01/19/2012 8:33:13 PM PST by teenyelliott (Obama warned if he loses the election it could herald a new, painful era of self-reliance)
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To: napscoordinator

Coulter is slamming Newt on her twitter feed, too bad she’s ignoring me slaming Mittens lol.


11 posted on 01/19/2012 8:33:46 PM PST by Mmogamer (I refudiate the lamestream media, leftists and their prevaricutions.)
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To: Kansas58

“Please go to Drudge and Freep his poll!”

Looks like the Paulbots are all over it as usual.


12 posted on 01/19/2012 8:35:15 PM PST by diverteach (If I find liberals in heaven after my death.....I WILL BE PISSED!!!)
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To: Mmogamer

Coulter is slamming Newt on her twitter feed, too bad she’s ignoring me slaming Mittens lol.

That gave me a laugh. I needed that tonight. You made my evening. Thank you!


13 posted on 01/19/2012 8:37:53 PM PST by napscoordinator (Newt MUST win the nomination to get rid of Romney and Obama....Dear God let November 2012 go our way)
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To: BCrago66

Newt on InTrade now up to 64.5% as buyers flood in following the PPP release.


14 posted on 01/19/2012 8:39:33 PM PST by montag813
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To: All

Hey, did Intrade pay THE Willard or Santorum winning BET in Iowa???


15 posted on 01/19/2012 8:43:23 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Perry 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: montag813

“Newt on InTrade now up to 64.5% as buyers flood in following the PPP release”

LOL This is really going to torque of Coulter, Hume, Krauthammer, Perino, and many others over at FOX. Let’s see how they spin this tomorrow.


16 posted on 01/19/2012 8:46:02 PM PST by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: Kansas58

Freeped and pinged! The Paul-tards are out in force tonight!


17 posted on 01/19/2012 8:46:33 PM PST by JaguarXKE
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To: FlingWingFlyer

I fear the Dems have run out of dirt on Newt. They done scraped de bottom of de barrel dry!


18 posted on 01/19/2012 8:47:38 PM PST by luvbach1 (Stop the destruction in 2012 or continue the decline)
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To: freeangel

Just to be balanced, Rueters/Ipsos just released a new poll tonite showing Romney 12,...... just saying only poll that matters is saturday,


19 posted on 01/19/2012 8:47:41 PM PST by gswilder
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To: CainConservative

Intrade says Romney won Iowa and wont revisit the issue. I think someone should sue them


20 posted on 01/19/2012 8:48:22 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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