Posted on 01/16/2012 8:15:21 AM PST by Bigtigermike
The latest Insider Advantage / Newsmax poll of likely South Carolina voters, taken on Sunday, shows Mitt Romney opening up a commanding 11-point lead… and that was before Jon Huntsman dropped out of the race and endorsed Romney. Hell, Huntsman’s still a point ahead of Rick Perry in this poll.
Mitt Romney - 32
Newt Gingrich - 21
Ron Paul - 14
Rick Santorum – 13
Jon Huntsman – 6
Rick Perry – 5
Strangely, according to the poll breakdown, Newt Gingrich scored exactly zero among the youngest cohort of voters, ages 18-29. Ron Paul and Rick Santorum were tied among that group, with 27 percent each.
This poll has a fairly small sample of 720 respondents, but they’re “likely voters,” generally the most reliable group. If the results are accurate, it looks as if that “tightening race” in South Carolina has loosened back up, and undecided voters are starting to break for Romney. If Huntsman’s endorsement sends some of his supporters Romney’s way, and he holds the enormous 22-point lead Rasmussen found for him in Florida last week, Romney could end up taking both states in a walk.
(Excerpt) Read more at humanevents.com ...
/facepalm
So you want to vote for someone with no class who doesn't love America?
So, why do you think it isn’t?
You're talking about a subsample of 101 respondents; there's a huge margin of error for a sample that small at 95% confidence, and even then 1 out of 20 results (5%) will be outside the margin of error.
Newt is getting about 20% in total - so in a sample of 101 he'd get 20 supporters. But if he's not doing so well with younger voters, maybe he's at 5%, which would put him at 5 voters in an average subsample. In any particular subsample he's likely to get 0 to 15 respondents supporting him (or thereabouts).
People get 0% in subsamples all the time. Look at some polling cross tabs. In this poll, Perry gets 0% of the 209 respondents in age group 30-44, Paul and Santorum get 0% of the 22 blacks in the sample.
Is it really unbelievable that Newt doesn't pull much support from younger voters? After all, the Republican Congress ran him out of town on a rail when these folks weren't even in high school, and he was the most reviled politician in America.
If enough...registered Pubbies quit, and became registered Indies, that might get someone's attention. But I don't give a rats ass....I just can't be in the GOP anymore.
I wasn't talking about forming another Party....
I have to admit, I've never seen a subset in a poll where a candidate got 0%. I suppose they exist, but I haven't seen one before, even though I've seen the breakdowns for a lot of polling.
I have to admit, I've never seen a subset in a poll where a candidate got 0%. I suppose they exist, but I haven't seen one before, even though I've seen the breakdowns for a lot of polling.
And guess what kind of judges Romney appointed when he was governor of MA?
The two with class and love for country that exceeds pride and love for self will drop out.
So you want to vote for someone with no class who doesn’t love America?
***
Better that than simply fielding Romney “Because it’s his turn”, though he has only a plurality.
Besides, class and love for country is rewarded with genuine love from genuine Americans. Do you think if Gingrich and Santorum (I am not a Perry supporter) dropped out right now and threw their unqualified support behind Perry as well as a more sane primary process, that they wouldn’t be loved and appreciated FOR LIFE??
If all 3 conservatives (not Romney, not Paul) are babies, then we deserve to lose in the general election.
I call it foolhardy to encourage the best candidates to give up.
I think the ones motivated by pride and love for self should drop out and endorse the one with the most class who loves America.
I call it foolhardy to encourage the best candidates to give up.
***
Indeed! But WHO is “motivated by pride and love for self” if not a person who is in 3rd, 4th, and 5th, and STILL runs, knowing that Romney will get the nomination?
If you’re a conservative and not in 2nd, ARE you really the “best” candidate? After all, is not part of being a candidate getting support?
Indeed. But who is 2nd, 3rd, and 4th? Santorum won(?) Iowa and beat Gingrich in New Hampshire, but trails Newt in the southeast. The two are tied nationally.
If Gingrich dropped out, would his supporters go to Santorum? Some of them, surely.
If Santorum dropped out, would his supporters go to Gingrich? Some of them.
Gingrich has more money suggesting he has staying power; Santorum has better favorability ratings suggesting a greater opportunity to unify opposition to Romney.
Perry is gone after SC. Ron Paul is... Ron Paul.
Indeed. But who is 2nd, 3rd, and 4th? Santorum won(?) Iowa and beat Gingrich in New Hampshire, but trails Newt in the southeast. The two are tied nationally.
If Gingrich dropped out, would his supporters go to Santorum? Some of them, surely.
If Santorum dropped out, would his supporters go to Gingrich? Some of them.
Gingrich has more money suggesting he has staying power; Santorum has better favorability ratings suggesting a greater opportunity to unify opposition to Romney.
Perry is gone after SC. Ron Paul is... Ron Paul.
****
Indeed, there is no “clear” 3rd, 4th, and 5th.
We’re gonna pray against Romney being president going forward.
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