New Hampshire is an aberration.
-The people in New Hampshire are quirky and don’t vote like the rest of the country.
-Romney’s numbers are an aberration because that is his home state. He will not get into the thirties in any other state.
-Huntsman will not get over 5% in any other state.
-Ron Paul will be significant during the entire campaign, but is not likely to get over 10-15% in the South.
-Santorum should consolidate the conservative vote when they get into the South, in South Carolina and Florida. As people learn more about Newt Gingrich, the less they like him.
Realistically, it’s a two man race between Santorum and Romney — and again, I don’t see Romney getting over 30% outside of New England.
.
Likewise for Iowa.
I've long advocated a two-state opening primary with Tennessee and Oklahoma starting the election season. Those states are far more representative of the real America and they're both small enough (geographically and in terms of population) for the candidates to do retail politics as well as media buys.
Had Tennessee and Oklahoma launched the 2012 primaries, is there any doubt that the results we've seen thus far would have been far different...and far better?
I misread that at first to be homo state. Wait...