They will get the 10th seat but the GOP has a good chance to take the 1st district from them.
And 2 competitive Republican districts have been made safer.
So it will R +1 (5-5 tie) if we take the 1st, D+1 (6-4 D) if we fail.
Either way we aren’t likely to lose any of the seats we do have.
http://www.komonews.com/news/local/Redistricting-panel-OKs-new-political-maps-136520128.html
There’s the map. The 2nd looks safe rat.
Winning the 6th district if it’s ancient democrat occupant ever retires would be an interesting possibility. Strange district that one.
Good ol’ Norm Dicks. The 6th is a heavily blue collar district(loggers, fishermen, Bremerton Shipyard, etc). Kitsap county is as corrupt, if not more so, than King county. It’s been demonrat controlled forever. Jefferson, Clallam, Grays Harbor are very clannish and suspicious of outsiders. I was a deputy sheriff in Jefferson county in the late 70s. They was a plenty of banjo strummin’ a goin’ on back then.
It seems to me that very little of the current WA-01 is in the redrawn WA-01; most of Inslee’s CD appears to have been parceled off between the moonbat WA-07 and the now-safe-Dem WA-02 (Larsen was the biggest Dem winner in redistricting, unless he draws a primary challenger). The new WA-01 appears to be extremely marginal—I wouldn’t be surprised if the 2004 presidential vote went 50-50 there. And, yes, Herrera and (especially) Reichert have much more comfortably GOP CDs now. On the negative side, Rodgers’s WA-05 may no longer be safely Republican with Adams, Okanogan and part of Walla Walla Counties being excised; McCain got 52% in 2008 and Bush got 57% in 2004 under the current lines, but they probably got 51% and 55%, respectively, under the new lines.
So I agree with Impy that the likeliest results are a 5-5 delegation split or a 6-4 Dem edge, depending on who wins the redrawn WA-01. However, the WA-06 and perhaps the WA-10 could be winnable for the GOP (I’m guesstimating that under the new lines Bush got over 45% in WA-06 and around 44% in WA-10, although perhaps I’m underestimating Dem performance in the latter).
Overall, we couldn’t expect to do much better in WA, given how little leverage we had (if the GOP and Dem commission members hadn’t reached a compromise, the very liberal state supreme court would have taken over the process). I guess that Larsen really wanted that safe seat and WA Dems decided to give it to him and draw a new Dem CD in return for placing the two marginally GOP seats pretty much out of reach for them (at least for now), instead of rolling the dice with a court-drawn maps.