I won’t point out how your math is wrong (which it is), but I will point out how it is misleading:
According to the results that you posted, Iowa has correctly picked the Democrat nominee for President in four out of the last four caucuses (100%) and six out of the last eight (75%).
Iowa has also correctly picked the Republican nominee for President in four out of the last five caucuses (80%), five out of the last seven (71%), and six out of the last nine (67%).
Ta daaaaaahhhh!!!!
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I'm afraid that you've missed my point ... apologies for not making it clearer ...
The Political MYTH is that Iowa and New Hampshire are "accurate" indicators of America's political mood ...
The data presented shows that they are NOT ... at least when actually ELECTING a U.S. President ...
Thirty-two years of data shows that Iowa and New Hampshire are ONLY ACCURATE at selecting the "elected" POTUS ... less than fifteen-percent of the time ...
Thus ... they are basically irrelevant as an accurate indicator ...
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