[Patton@Bastogne]

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I'm afraid that you've missed my point ... apologies for not making it clearer ...


The Political MYTH is that Iowa and New Hampshire are "accurate" indicators of America's political mood ...


The data presented shows that they are NOT ... at least when actually ELECTING a U.S. President ...


Thirty-two years of data shows that Iowa and New Hampshire are ONLY ACCURATE at selecting the "elected" POTUS ... less than fifteen-percent of the time ...


Thus ... they are basically irrelevant as an accurate indicator ...


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[Engraved-on-His-hands]

I don’t mean to continue berating the point, but both your math and your logic are incorrect. The Iowa caucuses have correctly chosen the elected President in the last four elections: Obama in 2008, G.W. Bush in 2004 and 2000, and Clinton in 1996.