Replies

RE :”And so it was that everything was in place for an entry into the race about 10 days ago, right after Perry’s debate meltdown. Yet Sarah did the oddest thing: She not only didn’t enter the race (or give strong indication that is her intention) but also gave last night an interview to Greta that dropped a lake full of water on the Palin for President fire....
....It is as a moment like this that I remember more Sun Tzu: “Engage people with what they expect; it is what they are able to discern and confirms their projections. It settles them into predictable patterns of response, occupying their minds while you wait for the extraordinary moment- that which they cannot anticipate.” Sarah has set that up. After last night, what is the last thing in the world they’d expect her to do in the next 10 days? Is it, perhaps, to go relatively dark and then pop out with a surprise announcement, maybe something like a tweet that simply says #GAMEON?”

C4P is saying she intentionally tried to make us think she will not run (in Republican primary) but it is all a strategic head fake because she plans on announce a run real soon : October 9 or 14 and wants it to be a BIG surprise.

RE :”In other words, in all of this talk about whether Palin will run or not, one question is NEVER asked: Does Palin have more to gain (or lose) by running or by not running? The reason that question is never asked is because, no matter your frame of reference when it comes to “analyzing” Sarah Palin, the conclusion would be the same: She’s running. “

No-one that says she is not running ever asks and addresses this 'gain/lose' question????

OK,I’ll ask the question.What does Palin gain or lose. If she runs and loses to Romney,Perry,Cain et.al. she becomes Dan Quayle. If she does not run, she becomes Dan Quayle. If she wins the nomination and loses she becomes Alf Landon. So if she runs,she needs to win, but polls like the FOXNews poll of 9/01/11 say she won’t win. So what does she do? She keeps her name in the news as long as possible with the will she or won’t she business, and then announces she’s not running and as per her interview with Greta, she announces she’s returning to Wasilla to work on ways she can influence policy outside the lines. That’s the last we hear of her as she returns to being a mom, grandma, and wife,living comfortably from the royalties of her books and TV show and maybe making a paid appearance once in a while.

No-one that says she is not running ever asks and addresses this 'gain/lose' question????

Yeah, that was odd. Of course, anybody who ponders that question at FR, and concludes that running is the bigger risk than not running for her future, is said to be infected with the PDS virus.

It won't be a "surprise" if/when Palin announces she's running. It will be a "what took you so long" from the average voter, and a few weeks of glee for her more fervent supporters, followed by a "wow, we're really disorganized, way behind other campaigns, and have a lot of work to do to catch up in both the ground game and the money game" realization a month or so later. But, I have PDS (probably from a Gardisil shot), so please disregard my post.

I am sick of her games. She has dropped immensly in my book over the last few months.

She either needs to STFU and jump in the race and battle it out or stop sucking the energy away from those who are trying to get the nod.

Its utterly absurd how she is acting. Its not strategery or some grand plan, its leading on well intentioned supporters on hers so she can keep her name in the spotlight.

I for one am sick of it as we need to focus on getting someoner to beat Obama in 2012 - nothing else. If she does not want to be part of that effort in a productive way right now - she needs to go away.

That's an easy question to answer: She has far more to lose than gain by getting in this race. It's not even close. She has a very good thing going for her now, the chance of her becoming the nominee is very remote as she can not withstand the kind of scrutiny being given to the others.

Even if she would get the nomination, Palin would be the WORST possible candidate for Republcians to choose to take on Obama.

If Palin has a brain, she stays where she is.

If she thought putting up with the libs in AK was so tough, she quit as governor, she ain't seen nuthin' yet. They will attack her mercilessly.

The comedy of the whole thing is, the Palin fanatics are arguing that Sarah is not really undecided and that she has been planning a run all along. They think it is some sort of clever psyops operation she is masterfully pulling off. But if that were true, doesn't that means she's been lying for months and months when she says she is undecided?

No-one that says she is not running ever asks and addresses this 'gain/lose' question????

If Palin gets in the race and fails to win the nomination - particularly if she does very poorly, her star power recedes dramatically. Much of her influence is based on the idea that she is a major Republican player that could win the nomination IF she chose to run. If she entered the race and it became clear that most Republicans weren't interested in voting for her, the money and media will start drying up.

I expect the tease campaign to go on for awhile longer, perhaps now even past the end of September. Still, I think you'll see more and more signals from her that she doesn't need a "title". This is her way of letting down her fanatical followers gently till the time she finally admits she isn't running. Even then, she will probably say she isn't running for the Republican nomination in an attempt to keep a certain amount of tease going even longer. The C4P crowd will then hang on every word she utters believing it is a signal she is about to go 3rd party. In the end though, Palin will endorse and campaign for whomever the GOP nominee actually is - and yes, even if that nominee is Romney she will support him. She's made very clear that ABO is an overriding priority this time around.

No-one that says she is not running ever asks and addresses this 'gain/lose' question????

That would imply that she would only be doing it if she personally had something to gain. I can not accept that as a Palin objective. I have believed all along her decision would be made after much prayer without consideration of personal gain. The very existence of our Republic is at stake in this election and AOBO is not going to solve this crisis.

It would sadden me if she did not run, and I now tend to think she won't, hopefully we will get a full understanding of her position soon.

I wave watched this forum daily to see what can best be likened to a WWE pre wrestling event, where the mad russian gets on TV and insults all the fat women, and then the good guy comes out and tells us he will smack him down, truth is they are probably good friends putting on a show to entertain the fans.

I believe Palin would be a much different kind of President. I remain hopeful that we can elect a President that wants to actually restore the Republic.

I also hope for the second coming, which may actually come first :)