There are three possibilities now regarding Palin:
1) She doesn’t run.
2) She gets in as a Republican, in which case the end of September is a semi-hard deadline.
2) She runs as an independent and/or third party, in which case she has to begin wooing parties that already have ballot access (Conservative, Reform, Libertarian, etc.) and/or start circulating petitions to get enough signatures to get on the ballot of the 50 States.
I have absolutely no idea which way she’s going to go, at this point, but it does seem to me (as someone who’d like to see her run) that a final go-no go decision point for a 2012 Presidential run really is coming up in the near future.
2) She gets in as a Republican, in which case the end of September is a semi-hard deadline.
2) She runs as an independent and/or third party, in which case she has to begin wooing parties that already have ballot access (Conservative, Reform, Libertarian, etc.) and/or start circulating petitions to get enough signatures to get on the ballot of the 50 States.
I have absolutely no idea which way shes going to go, at this point, but it does seem to me (as someone whod like to see her run) that a final go-no go decision point for a 2012 Presidential run really is coming up in the near future.
I think your first two possibilities are the likely ones. She will not win by going the third party route or running as independent route. There is not enough support or voters. Also, it would make Obama a winner since it will draw some people away from the Republican nominee.
We will all know in a few days if she is going to declare according to articles quoting her.
http://hotair.com/archives/2011/07/14/palin-suggests-august-or-september-might-be-right-for-an-announcement/
“I have absolutely no idea which way shes going to go,”
I have to go with your first Number 2 ;-). I think she is way too patriotic/politically savvy to go third party.
>> “I have absolutely no idea which way shes going to go, at this point, but it does seem to me (as someone whod like to see her run) that a final go-no go decision point for a 2012 Presidential run really is coming up in the near future.” <<
.
Were she not running, she would have said so already. She’s no fool, and knows that just fading out would positively end her career.
She said her book, "Going Rogue", that she'll never do that. She'll run as a Republican.