Check it, I've just set up the Map here
Precisely. I think Palin could win with 40% of the vote over Obomney.
We were discussing this just earlier in the summer. This is the RNC's moment of truth: "Do I want to live, or do I want to die?"
The RNC has $24 Million in debt, less than $40 Million in cash, and is spending sixty cents on fundraising for every dollar raised. The RNC cannot afford to run one Senate campaign in one medium-sized state, and cannot raise money from the grassroots small donors, as has been their traditional bread and butter.
If the RNC pushes another RINO like Romney or Perry, against the wishes of the grassroots TEA Party voters, the RNC is a dead duck, and will go the way of the Whigs.
The "moderate" Republicans make up less than 25% of registered Republicans.
Independents are leaning almost 60% conservative (not Republican), almost opposite the 2008 split, more along the lines of the 2010 midterm, but more intense.
Democrats have lost the majority of young college and recent graduates, as well as 30%+ of hispanic voters, and 15% to 20% of Black voters.
In a three-way race against Palin, Romney and Obama would be competing for the about 40% liberals of the total vote. With Hillary getting more Independents, it would probably not work.
In a two-way race, Palin would probaly beat Obama 60-40, or better (record landslide). Against Hillary, it would be a fight, but I believe we would still win, because more of the Black voters would drop out.
The media wants a horse race, within a couple points of 50/50, so they can rake in gazillions with the hype. We the People are gearing up for a long-overdue, thorough cleansing of the body politic.