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I am amazed at how many Freepers jump on polls like these and celebrate when they turn around and say that the PPP poll in NY is not to be trusted. This is a CNN poll...how is it much different. The problem is that they polled registered voters, not likely voters. They had a sample of just a little over 900 people, but only 400 registered Republicans. This poll lines up with others, yes, but it doesn’t take likely voters into account and it only asks for a small portion of Republican votes.

The key is to not put too much stock into a single poll, but to look for trends. This poll is in agreement with the other recent polls we have seen from a lot of different polling companies in the last month, who collectively have polled thousands of people over a period of several weeks, with a healthy mix of registered voters and likely voters between them.

So it is highly likely that it is fairly representative of public opinion at this point in time. Unless, of course, you are one of the tin-foil brigade that belive that all of these polling companies are colluding together to slant all of the polls a certain way in order to all give an advantage to the same candidates, or to eliminate other candidates from the race.

Nope, the only tin foil types are Paulies. The thing is that while this trend does continue, this side of Rasmussen, the other polls I have seen have NOT polled Likely voters. I have seen adults polled, registered adults polled, etc, but no likely voters. Interestingly, in state by state straw polls and in other liekly voter polls (including Gallups intensity) guys like Cain are doing better than polling suggests. I just don’t put much stock into one poll, but there are problems with how they are polling...after all, you can’t get an accurate sample of “adult” voters or registered voters..especially when only polling about 450 republicans.