Checking in from southern MD, where we’re currently under a hurricane warning and flash flood watch. Stocked up on groceries and ready for whatever comes our way. Husband experienced two hurricanes during his Naval service (Isabel and Ivan) but this is new to me and the kiddos (ages 11 and 14) Between the earthquake on Tues, the tornado warning yesterday, and this upcoming hurricane, I’ve had enough drama this month to last a lifetime!
Heading to North Carolina in just a few minutes. I appreciate this thread for keeping me informed.
Stay safe, lots of evacuations going on around here. We’re staying put.
Hello there. Good to be back.
Time for my morning look at the track... albeit a little later than I’d planned. First off, here are the last several reported eye positions:
1700 THR 27.0N 77.3W
2000 THR 27.7N 77.4W
2300 THR 28.3N 77.3W
0200 FRI 28.7N 77.3W
0500 FRI 29.3N 77.2W
0800 FRI 30.0N 77.3W
1100 FRI 30.7N 77.3W
Okay, I think we can be pretty well assured that the beast is moving NORTH. A couple of days ago (post #416), I opined that if there was any chance of missing the Carolinas, it had better be moving a little right (east) of due north by the time it passed Daytona Beach (29.2°).
Well, technically it was (77.2W then)... but as we see since, that was just a ‘wobble’, and Irene has steamed straight north since then and is now parallel to Brunswick, GA on that same straight north tack... well over 100 miles further north.
My guesses from this:
1. It’s still not turning as I type this, though probably will start to do so soon.
2. It’s going a little west of the official track - currently Cape Lookout.
3. I’m thinking Atlanta Beach, NC is in trouble.
4. Irene is about 250 miles to Morehead City... landfall at current speed is roughly 17 hours away - before dawn Saturday morning.
Beyond the NC landfall, I have no ideas — the interaction with that much land might be a Godsend for the NE Corridor due to substantial weakening.
Be sure you have water. We have a hand-pump, reverse osmosis filter that can purify some pretty nasty water. Use coffee filters to get out the big stuff and maybe consider boiling it, but it will give you a continuous supply of drinking water. You can get them at the sporting goods or camping stores.
Glad I went shopping yesterday,it is a mad house at our local supermarket.