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Hurricane Irene [Now at Cat 3]
NHC/NOAA ^ | 20 August 2011 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 08/20/2011 4:22:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Irene has developed from Invest 97 in the Western Atlantic Ocean, east of the Leeward Islands.

Satellite Images

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions

Sea Surface Temps

Buoy Data:


Caribbean Sea
Florida

Stormpulse


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneirene; irene; tropical
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To: dirtboy
Maybe I misunderstood you....

Does this report suggest it is now making a slight turn to the west.....or in future days will make a turn to the west?

381 posted on 08/24/2011 5:18:17 PM PDT by Guenevere (....)
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To: NautiNurse; dirtboy

For some time, I have been watching a NOAA resource here:

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/

Click on the region of the map that interests you, and then on “Graphical Forecast Images”.

You can step through a series of images of what the NOAA computers think will be happening over a period of time, the images are spaced at 3 hour intervals. Also, they are updated quite frequently.

Right now, the overall time frame is long enough to cover the arrival and departure of Irene.

Obviously, what it shows is subject to change as this storm gets closer.

Also, I have watched this resource through a number of lesser storms, and for wind speed at least, reality has never been as bad as the graphical forecast.

It’s certainly interesting, though.


382 posted on 08/24/2011 5:21:42 PM PDT by Fresh Wind ('People have got to know whether or not their President is a crook.' Richard M. Nixon)
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To: Guenevere

Future days ... as the storm moves past the Outer Banks, whether it will move NNE or more due North.


383 posted on 08/24/2011 5:24:44 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

Thanks....I read it again, and realized that’s probably what it meant.


384 posted on 08/24/2011 5:28:19 PM PDT by Guenevere (....)
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To: dirtboy
"The new ECMWF shows much more amplification of the trough"

A more amplified trough indicates a possible negative tilt....thus pulling the storm westward....

Most of the model depicted a less powerful trough...thus allowing the storm to go more east....one of the only models that did not was the Euro....which is excellent in this timeframe....the other models are catching up....

If anyone reading this is on Long Island....they best keep a very careful eye on the forecast.....this could be direct hit with extreme consequences.....even if the storm is a weak Cat 1....

The tristate region has been soaked with rain this month...and another deluge of T Storms is predicted for tomorrow evening.....a saturated ground combined with 25 years of tree growth (since Gloria) is setting the Island up for disaster....

I really pray the trough weakens and Irene is allowed to go out to sea....otherwise the consequences may be severe....
385 posted on 08/24/2011 5:29:57 PM PDT by PigRigger (Donate to http://www.AdoptAPlatoon.org - The Troops have our front covered, let's guard their backs!)
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To: NautiNurse

I’m not Beverly, but I did grow up with her.


386 posted on 08/24/2011 5:43:03 PM PDT by old_sage_says ("Do not wish ill for your enemy, plan it.." Brad Thor)
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To: gargoyle

Thanks, Gargoyle.

I’m a Norfolk native, born and raised in Ocean View!


387 posted on 08/24/2011 5:54:21 PM PDT by Grandma Pam
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To: Gabz
"My fave bartender told everyone last night the hurricane party was starting today at our fave watering hole on Chincoteague." Being in New Orleans during Camille, I can't hear of hurricane parties without thinking about the Richelieu Apartments in Pass Christian, MS. http://camille.passchristian.net/hurricane_party.htm


388 posted on 08/24/2011 6:01:43 PM PDT by Rebelbase (Disgusted with the establishment GOP and their enablers.)
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To: Rebelbase

If I recall, only one lady survived that party, and she told the story a few years ago before she departed.

Seems like she got washed into a tree?


389 posted on 08/24/2011 6:19:18 PM PDT by txhurl (Did you want to talk or fish?)
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To: txhurl
Read the article he linked to .. apparently she wasn't the only one .. AND the woman who kept talking about the hurricane party later was charged with murdering her 11th husband http://camille.passchristian.net/hurricane_party.htm
390 posted on 08/24/2011 6:25:10 PM PDT by pamlet
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To: rodguy911

>>>I cant believe some are going to ride it out on ocracoke island,really dumb.

The owner of one of the shops on Ocracoke has a blog. He is riding out the storm and will be updating the blog on occcasion.
http://villagecraftsmen.blogspot.com/


391 posted on 08/24/2011 6:31:46 PM PDT by nc28205
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To: NautiNurse

Ah yes...Good Night Irene. That was a great song, but, alas, this Irene is heading my way on Sunday. I’ve been through enough of hurricanes before to be very respectful.


392 posted on 08/24/2011 6:50:30 PM PDT by Wheelbarrow
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To: NautiNurse
from where do you proffer these opinions?

I live in the Peoples Republic of New York, near Danbury, CT about 30 miles from the Long Island Sound. My problem is not with taking precautions and staying on top of the situation. My problem is with a media that overstates and exaggerates the situation to build drama and hype in the name of ratings. Maybe Irene is the real deal this time; or maybe the media is overstating the threat to keep people watching.

In a similar situation, I can recall a number of occasions that the media has pumped a snowstorm into the potential blizzard of a lifetime even as the storm is moving out to sea and away from the forecast area and the weather is 50 degrees and raining. Because the media was more interested in viewership ratings than accuracy and complete honesty in the weather forecast, schools and businesses closed; employees didn't show up for work; meetings, events, and appointments were canceled; commerce slowed to a crawl; and emergency crews were put on overtime. This all happened hours before the first snowfall was forecast to hit the ground. The hit to the local economy had to be enormous.

My point is that if the lastest data and models show the storm shifting to the east of Providence and Boston, then don't keep reporting potential doom and gloom in places like the New York City area, New Jersey, and Philly, knowing that the chances of that happening are quickly diminishing.

393 posted on 08/24/2011 6:54:02 PM PDT by Labyrinthos
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To: nc28205

Should be interesting reading! Hope he makes it.


394 posted on 08/24/2011 6:56:00 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: Abigail Adams
Caribbean Satellite
395 posted on 08/24/2011 7:06:29 PM PDT by Aquamarine
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To: Labyrinthos
My problem is with a media that overstates and exaggerates the situation to build drama and hype in the name of ratings. Maybe Irene is the real deal this time; or maybe the media is overstating the threat to keep people watching.

ok. So evil capitalistic advertising and viewer retention motives aside, what is your hurricane plan if Hurricane Irene proves a more westerly path than your current desired track east of Boston?

396 posted on 08/24/2011 7:06:51 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: Abigail Adams
News from the Bahamas:
“Someone's roof is in my front yard. I don't know if it is from my house or my
neighbours. I am not able to go outside,” said Mr Roberts. The Tribune

397 posted on 08/24/2011 7:22:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: Labyrinthos

Perhaps you are on the wrong thread.
This thread is for those of us who may actually be impacted by a hurricane to gather information and make plans accordingly.
You seem more interested in the reporting of said storm.

Have you actually been in a hurricane of any magnitude sir?
I have been in more hurricanes than you have have years under your belt, and I have been grateful for the information contained in these threads.


398 posted on 08/24/2011 7:23:09 PM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (I STAND WITH ISRAEL!)
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To: dirtboy
I can say right now THE biggest fear is that Irene could make a direct hit on New York City itself.

Even if it arrives as a Category 2 hurricane, the combination of winds approaching 100 mph plus the storm surge could heavily damage the city itself and it could be weeks before things like the subway system could be brought back to normal. I would not be surprised operations like ESPN--who is based on Bristol, CT in a possible direct path of the storm--may order people evacuated from its large campus and many of its on-air personalities temporarily moved to operate from ESPN's new Los Angeles studios at the LA Live complex until the storm damage is repaired.

399 posted on 08/24/2011 7:29:29 PM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: Labyrinthos; NautiNurse

I am from the People’s Republic of New York, Brooklyn to be exact, however I happen to now live in God’s country right on the coast in Virginia - what you claim as ratings grabbing exaggerations is actually necessary information to people where I live.

To be perfectly honest, those of us in the Carolinas and on Delmarva really don’t give a rip about NY, NJ and Conn. Many of us down here left those areas because of attitude problems associated with living there.


400 posted on 08/24/2011 7:48:54 PM PDT by Gabz (Democrats for Voldemort.)
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