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Posted on 08/20/2011 4:22:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Irene has developed from Invest 97 in the Western Atlantic Ocean, east of the Leeward Islands.
Buoy Data:
Caribbean Sea
Florida
Pretty irresponsible of FOX to single out Charleston for a storm five days away... and to rule out Florida. Even the hurricane center pointed out that their own average errors for 4- and 5-day forecasts are 200 and 250 miles, respectively.
It’s got to be tough to project how a barge this size is going to turn a corner over a five-day period given the influence of multiple other weather considerations - some of which haven’t even developed yet.
This is why responsible reporting usually includes a phrase such as “All interests on the SE Atlantic seaboard should monitor this situation closely over the next few days.”
Recall 2004 and Hurricane Charley. Everyone was expecting Charley to drive up Tampa Bay. Everyone. Boy howdy, Port Charlotte and Punta Gorda had a rude awakening when Charley turned inland there instead of passing them by en route to Tampa Bay. Those folks screamed bloody murder when the Cat. 4 storm caught them with their pants down. NHC pointed out that area was well within the Cone of Uncertainty. Hurricanes are not a tiny dot on a map, and their forecast path is not a straight line down the middle of the cone.
I remember that well... it was almost a “Hey, wait, that’s not fair!”, with dire consequences, and we were all reminded that nature/hurricanes do not follow neat predictable rules.
Thanks for the updates; I’m glad to be following it here!
You are so right. Responsible reporting needs to include that caveat and exhortions for all to be prepared.
oooh, are those ominous clouds on the horizon?
Please add me to your Hurricaine ping list.
I live in Jax Florida.
thanks.
I would hope it cruises by Martha’s vineyard???what are the odds?ha.
I sure hope the fl gov opens up the freeway lanes on both sides this time..spending 6hrs on the I 95 in Valdosta is not my idea of a great vacation.
Ha! Know what u mean. I’m in Jacksonville , just hope it isn’t too bad for anyone .
Do you have any plans to move to Martha’s Vineyard this week?
Not that I'm aware of. I'll be sticking it out in good ole St Pete Beach.
I remember the soaking Floyd did here in Wilmington and surrounding areas.I hope Irene just keeps going out to sea!
Please add me to the ping list as well...anxious liveaboard sailor near Jax...thankingyou
I’m in Jacksonville as well. Oakleaf Plantation.
Darien, GA. Preparing evacuation plan.
Yup EAST. Way East... she can sleep with the fishes..
LOL Wilma was one mean storm. My first really BAD hurricane, and we thought here in Delray Beach we were out of the woods!
Hush!
I”m making hurricane preps anyway, these folks are wrong often enough, I’d rather be ready and not need it.
But down here Wilima picked up boats and moved them over Rtnd left them up in the high mangroves on the other side - two huge tidal surges and lots of water spouts coming ashore
.
Yes, Wilma wasn’t as bad here as it was there (because we can get away from the water!) but she really surprised us, who knew she could churn across land and get STRONGER!) It was a baptism by fire or something.
I like Delray, it’s a funky place. And those little old ladies and their carts keep me out of The Boys, which is a shame, but my ankles just won’t take it!
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